Ichimoku Trading Strategies NZDUSD 04 Sep 2013 #1 A trade executed few days ago on 04 Sep 2013 for NZDUSD. At the time when the trade was executed, price action went into the ichimoku cloud from the cloud low. Tenkan-sen cut above the kijun-sen and chikou-span about to cut above the kijun-sen, coupled with a thick forward cloud. Current price action above the ichimoku cloud, thick, meaning a strong support to the price action above the cloud. It will take more than just news to reverse the price action. One may consider to add on more position with risk below the cloud lo. Singapore Ichimoku Trader Trading Forex
Ichimoku Trading Strategies USDCHF 16 Sep 2013 #1 Opened an position in USDCHF few days ago. Price action already cut below the ichimoku cloud. Tenkan-sen cut below kijun-sen and below the cloud, while kijun-sen was about to cut below the cloud. Chikou span, though cut below the kijun-sen, was not below the cloud during the time of the execution. Nevertheless, opened the position as chikou span below the cloud would be the last indicator of all. The big drop yesterday was due to FED meeting. It either worked for or against the position. Luckily or not, it worked for the position. Stop loss level remained above the cloud. First resistance level will be the tenkan-sen level. Price action itself has not really increased momentum despite the fall yesterday looking at the gap between tenkan-sen and kijun-sen. Will see how price action reveals itself. Singapore Ichimoku Trader Trading Forex
Ichimoku Trading Strategies NZDUSD 04 Sep- 2013 #2 This is an update of the previous ichimoku blog post on 09-Sep-2013. Since the last post, the kiwi has moved upward in a gradual manner. The trade itself is sitting more than over 400+ pips (Entry on the white circle), stop loss level has shifted to cloud lo level covering the trade itself. Current Review From the current ichimoku charting, tenkan-sen, kijun-sen, chikou span are all above the kumo cloud. Tenkan-sen in particular, has been providing the support for the price action looking at the past activities. The gap between tenkan-sen and kijun-sen remained "small", reflecting the gradual upward trend on the price action, minimizing the possibility of downward reaction from price action itself. Another feature from the ichimoku charting itself, kijun-sen is quite a distant away from the kumo cloud, bear traders will have to sell down quite a number of pips to meet the next group traders waiting at the cloud hi. The most encouraging sign for buyers is the "thick" kumo cloud itself, where buyers and sellers fight out to determine the winner of the direction. It is not just technical analysis will determine how the change in in trend, fundamental will play an important role here. Retrospective Review The actual entry was made on the white circle. As mentioned in previous post, the chikou span was about to cut above the kijun-sen. However, decision has been made to enter the position then. The first yellow line from bottom reflected the "ideal" entry level, where chikou-span has cut the kijun-sen. The second line from bottom reflected another "ideal" entry level, with chikou-span cutting above the kumo cloud. The first yellow circle from bottom would be based on price action cutting above the kumo cloud, and entering on the next period. The second yellow circle from bottom would be another "ideal" entry level, with tenkan-sen, kijun-sen, and chikou-span all being above the kumo cloud. The third to sixth yellow circle from bottom would be good entry when price action touches the first support level at tenkan-sen. As usual, it always look like a perfect trading system on looking back. However, at the point of time, did we take the trade? I did not due to my own money management methodology. Nevertheless, hope the retrospective review provides some insights on the use of ichimoku charting. Singapore Ichimoku Trader
Ichimoku Trading Strategies NZDUSD 04 Sep- 2013 #3 Well, it has been quite some time since the last update. 2 more positions have been added since the last update. The first position was added on 24 September, that was added when price action came to the kijun-sen level. The second position was added on 11 October, that was added with the price action (period) above the kumo cloud. The current stop loss level is some distant away from the cloud lo. The forward kumo cloud is thin, increasing the risk of the reversal for the current uptrend. Encouraging signs will be the forward cloud is turning bullish, and chikou span remains above the cloud hi. The next few period will be critical as the price action unveils itself. Total risk for all the three positions remains controllable. Singapore Ichimoku Trader Trading Forex
Ichimoku Trading Strategies NZDUSD 04 Sep- 2013 #4 An update to the existing positions. Patience is one virtue one needs in trading. The very first position started in 04 Sep , 2 more positions were added on 24 Sep and 11 Oct. To just sit and wait for the price action reveals by itself maybe something easier to say than do. The green line is the take profit level. Of course, another school of thoughts will be to let profit run, just place a stop loss below the cloud lo, we never know how far it will go. That is not wrong. It's just different. Singapore Ichimoku Trader Trading Forex