iceman's options trading journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by iceman1, Nov 6, 2005.

  1. this will be an excellent way to trade CME, BOT et.al.


    CBOE to launch exchange-based index
    By Lisa Sanders, MarketWatch
    Last Update: 12:22 PM ET Jan. 27, 2006

    NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- A new index based on the stock prices of publicly traded exchanges will be launched Monday by the Chicago Board Options Exchange, reflecting the industry's growth ahead of regulatory changes and expectations of increased equity trading volume.

    The growth coincides with the implementation of Regulation NMS, a controversial rule adopted by the Securities and Exchange Commission in April 2005 requiring stock traders to accept the best bid or offer available for a stock trade, regardless of which exchange or market posts them. The goal is to ensure that Wall Street firms fulfill stock trades at the best available price.

    The CBOE has named the index the CBOE Exchange Index, which will carry the ticker EXQ.

    The index "will provide an essential composite look at this new market, and will provide the benchmark that investors and analysts will use as the indicator for this emerging business sector," said CBOE Chairman and CEO William Brodsky in a statement. He expects options and futures to be listed on the index soon.

    Initially, the index is composed of five security and futures exchanges -- CBOT Holdings Inc., CME, ISE, NDAQ, ICE.

    It will add the New York Stock Exchange after its initial public offering, the CBOE said. The EXQ index will be re-balanced each quarter.

    "The trend of U. S. financial exchanges becoming publicly traded entities has been widely publicized over the past year or two, creating considerable buzz among investors," Brodsky said.
     
    #291     Jan 28, 2006
  2. Journal thoughts for the week:


    Adopt the pace of nature... her secret is Patience!

    Sometimes doing NOTHING... is the BEST trade...!






    *will post a Journal thought at the start of every week that I have personally been focusing on/pondering in an effort to enhance trading perfromance and/or enrich life!
     
    #292     Jan 30, 2006
  3. staying with (bullish) positions in


    DNA

    + march 85c
    - feb90c
    + march 100c

    PnL = +


    based upon

    1. falling wedge-like pattern (daily close) forming since 1/11/06 albeit sloping in direction of recent downtrend. 2. potential bullish divergence on macd 3. gap/volume on 1/11/06 4. ANALysts targets 5. I like this one to trade >100 this Q

    negative: <50 d/ema



    APOL


    backspread
    60c/55c (PnL = u/r loss)

    based upon 1. 1/23/06 weekly bullish engulfing 2. OBV as contrary indicator 3. CCI + divergence 4. 1/12/06 volume

    negative: 1. <50/200 ema 2. 1/27/06 action 3. resignation of Nelson 4. positioned against trend
     
    #293     Jan 30, 2006
  4. MNX/NDX

    re-entering MNX 180 or 185 puts based upon tomorrow's action with GOOG/CME and FOMC.

    long some Feb/March 170/17250c along with (bullish) put spreads on MNX.

    SOX

    will look to add Feb/March SOX puts --- depending on tomorrow's action- looking for 10-17 points down side --- subject to confirmation that the (BRCM) gap higher = a SOX breakaway!
     
    #294     Jan 30, 2006
  5. 1-31-06

    :D :D

    what we see AH today is what we will see in QM and OIH and oil stocks --- SOON

    so far I have been early in predicting that oil is going to get hammered albeit I have made ok profits trading OIH from the short side. My one error was when I posted on the Journal that I was considering going long 155 OIH calls on the day we had that large PB to 146-148 territory. That was a faux pas to not enter those calls.

    But right now I am stalking a short entry into QM, and OIH that I can hold for a period of time all the way down. It may be next month or maybe not until May- but we will catch it just like in 2000 when everyone was saying how the market would never go lower. OIL reminds me of that sentiment.

    We are reaching a once-in-a-lifetime shorting opportunity in oil. Prices have been manipualted higher IMHO. Remember when "they" want out of oil stocks - OIH won't just go down 10-15 points -- try more like 50-100 points.

    JMHO


    iceman1
    :cool:

    p.s. geeezz-- almost sounds like Prechter! :eek:
     
    #295     Jan 31, 2006
  6. novel20

    novel20

    Iceman, did you get any CME 390 puts at all?
     
    #296     Jan 31, 2006
  7. I closed the long 390p the other day @ avg. 9.75 (for 2+)

    then sold a couple (390p) short at 10.20
    went long March 390 @15

    i.e. time spread

    today bought CME 410 puts not far from LOD.

    and will look to sell March 380 or 400p when CME has a significant PB
     
    #297     Jan 31, 2006
  8. GOOG

    raising target on GOOG to 1235.99

    BUY
    BUY
    BUY
     
    #298     Feb 1, 2006

  9. well these two -- APOL/DNA -- are not cooperating.

    I was afraid DNA could be pushed back to 85 but didn't want to do a time spread with March85/Feb85c. Maybe that was the ticket - but for now I still think DNA sees 90+ by expiry.

    So I will hold the march longs in DNA (coverd my short Feb90 calls) and will look to re-sell the Feb 90c this expiry cycle. I like to try and do that with a diagonal spread; close the front month short leg and then look to re-sell it as many times as possible OR adjust strikes.

    There is still a chance APOL gets marked back to >60. But right now it's still looking more like distribution and <55. Just don't want to short here. Rather go flat
     
    #299     Feb 1, 2006
  10. well like the gurus on ET say - vola is an important consideration- and in buying my CME 410 puts I obviously overpaid.

    Nailed the top on CME (st top - that is) - it sells off 14 points and I am earning peanuts on my long 410 puts! IF I didnt see it I would not believe it! Unfkingreal!
     
    #300     Feb 1, 2006