The only thing that will stop AI doing the vast majority of jobs in the future will be policy/legisltation.
Oh, this should be fun. Seeing all the zany examples we are seeing now with AI generated results. Can you imagine IBM Services selling advice created by AI? Probably cause their customer's business to sink.
Yes, true - for overall crash rates. I was thinking of edge cases, where Autopilot failed where a human probably would have not.
It is exponential growth at this stage, if it continues then: 10 years from now the AI will be 1000 times as powerful. 20 years from now the AI will be 1 million times as powerful. 30 years from now the AI will be 1 billion times as powerful. This is what makes it so hard to predict what the future holds, very hard to accurately imagine what that kind of power will have on the future course of humanity..
Jokes aside, I think Terminator as a movie is dangerous to the public perception of what's potentially ahead, because it is grossly inaccurate in that 'Skynet' is way too stupid w.r.t. to its botched cleanup of humans surviving the featured nuclear war. Its foundational underpinning is the belief (we gladly subscribe to) that humans are inherently superior... not a true one. On that note, rats sometimes overcome humans because they are too numerous for us to handle, but it doesn't mean an individual rat stands a chance in a 1v1 since we obviously outsmart them. A self reproducing AI system (if it even needs to) is going to be way more numerous than humans due to vastly faster growth rates, so this sideline argument can be shot down immediately. Since we won't (per definition) outsmart superhuman AGI and can't outnumber it, losing control and conflict is not an option. The reality is though, losing control is not the only danger. Another danger is some guy (or more probably tribe) deciding to enslave or destroy the rest of humanity because he/they felt like instructing AGI to do it. Edit: sorry for the tangent, this is just becoming standard doom mongering on my part. The important part is we make sure this does not happen.
This is probably the most likely out come. Even if we don't event those terminator kind of killer machine AI's the Chinese military probably will.
How do you expand wealth with 80% of the population being dealt out? A.I. should be used to empower people, for a small fee $800 monthly.