IBD/TIPP Poll Gives Obama Imaginary 2 Pt. Lead

Discussion in 'Politics & Religion' started by pspr, Oct 20, 2012.

  1. pspr


    The poll covers the last 5 days and gives Obama a 2.6% lead but even this poll has an incredibly skewed sample.

    For instance look at these internals:

    Obama 8% Romney 87%

    Obama 88% Romney 7%

    Obama 36% Romney 46%

    Just looking at those internals you would think Romney would have about a 9% advanatage instead of a 2% deficit. So, what gives? Just take a look at the incredible skew they have in their sample below.

    Sample Size: 938 likely voters (identified from 1079 registered voters with party affiliation of 37% Dem, 30% GOP, 32% Ind.)

    Dems were over sampled by about 5 to 4 or about 20% making a poll that favors Romney by a wide margin appear to favor Obama.

  2. exGOPer


    Doesn't look imaginary to me.