I wrote a bot and gave it 25k to trade

Discussion in 'Automated Trading' started by _terminus_, Feb 23, 2020.

  1. Amahrix

    Amahrix

    i hope the way you wrote your conclusion is to be taken rhetorically. You psychoanalyzed more than you had to to conclude that people are....curious

    lolz
     
    #61     Apr 1, 2020
  2. _terminus_

    _terminus_

    Maybe in the future. For now, my time is limited because in addition to this project I have to carry on my own professional activity and I prefer not to bite more than I can chew.

    I heard of several software platforms ready for autotrading, you could talk to @fan27 for example.
     
    #62     Apr 1, 2020
  3. Nobert

    Nobert

    That was a must know concept for that particular individual & for those who didn't knew about it prior to this.

    It is first step towards getting rid of victim mentality mindset.

    Everything in life, should be psychoanalyzed as you say. There is ,,why'' behind every thought, desire and emotion.

    ,,Know thyself'''
     
    #63     Apr 1, 2020
    Amahrix likes this.
  4. _terminus_

    _terminus_

    +1.83% last week, slowly recovering back to pre-virus level.

    pfolio.jpg

    Increased contracts no. to 2.

    I decided to take up the challenge by @traider about backtesting the system over a longer period. So I downloaded the last 7 years of data, backtest below:

    gr1.jpg

    Indeed it's better fit to the last 3-4 years, that is the period I used for optimization. However I'm not sure whether it should be deemed "overfit". I'll keep using it anyway.

    But I wasn't totally satisfied with the performance on the short side, so I replaced the short algo it with a new one. Backtest over the same 7 years (short only):

    gr2.jpg

    Finally, the two combined:

    gr3.jpg

    So this is what I'm going to use until I devise something better.
     
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    Last edited: Apr 6, 2020
    #64     Apr 6, 2020
  5. I wouldn’t worry about overfitting relative to a 7-year market. This year’s market is very different from 2015’s market, and you’re trading this year’s market. I rather err on the side of slightly overfitting to current market conditions (and tweaking parameters more often
     
    #65     Apr 6, 2020
    MercForHire and _terminus_ like this.
  6. _terminus_

    _terminus_

    Almost back to pre-Corona-Chan.

    portf.jpg

    All positive months so far, despite the March slump:

    months.jpg

    My son decided to join me and put 8k more on the front line. Trying to get rich by splitting a thousand a month.

    Added a new trend following, long only algo.

    At the moment experimenting/fiddling with neural nets. Mixed results so far.
     
    #66     Apr 20, 2020
    ironchef likes this.
  7. Very nice. Are you able to scale this once you're comfortable with the performance, or do you see difficulties on that front?

    I've been experimenting with an arbitrage/mean reversion script. I doubt I'll ever run it -- on the retail level, commissions are too much of a factor -- but it's a fun approach to hone skills with.
     
    #67     Apr 20, 2020
    _terminus_ likes this.
  8. _terminus_

    _terminus_

    Scalability - Yes, absolutely. Just consider that if instead of micro E-minis I was using E-minis, I would be trading 10x as much and the commissions would remain the same.

    Problem is... money. I don't have 400k as of now.

    So what I'm trying to do is to increase position size as - hopefully - the capital grows. I know I won't get rich this way, but at least I'll have a little fun and be able to pay some bills.
     
    Last edited: Apr 20, 2020
    #68     Apr 20, 2020
    zoned_post_meridiem likes this.
  9. That’s right, I forgot you’re using micros. Plenty of liquidity there as well if you really need to scale.
     
    #69     Apr 20, 2020
    _terminus_ likes this.
  10. ironchef

    ironchef

    :thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup:

    Very impressive, especially during the corona downturn. Wish I can say the same about my trades.
     
    #70     Apr 20, 2020
    _terminus_ likes this.