Discussion in 'Journals' started by random trader, Aug 16, 2003.
test if I can post
i can't see anything. did you post yet?? something must not be working right. :eek:
I traded my IRA account from $9000 to $16000 in 2002, then I fought the uptrend from March 2003 until now by buying puts on indices and stocks. Now my account stands at a little over 5000. Since future trading is allowed in IB's IRA accounts, I will trade 1 ES contract in this account from now on.
I will use this Journal as a record to test some ideas. This journal will close if the equity drops to the point where I cannot trade 1 ES. On the other hand, I will start trading 2 ES when equity rises above $10000. Before that point is reached, 1 ES is the limit.
At this time, the ideas I want to test are:
1. Can jumping in and out of a position beat buy(sell) and hold over an extend period of time?
2. Can one make money consistently with a simple system?
3. Is unscared money (vs. scared money) key to trading success?
System (or the lack thereof)
I will trade only from one side at a given time. At this time I believe the next few weeks/months will be down so I will trade from the short side exclusively. This will change when I believe the intermediate trend has changed. To determine the trend, I look at only weekly charts of $SPX and $BPSPX, using two indicators MACD and CCI. I will jump in and out using intraday $SPX chart from Yahoo Finance.
Stops and targets
No fear -- This is unscared money. Blowing up the account means I will retire at age 65.1 instead of 65.0. As a result, I will use only mental stops. And in general the stops will be large enough so I won't be shaken out by spikes. I don't expect to be stopped more often than perhaps once a month.
No greed -- Doubling this account means I will retire at age 64.9 instead of 65.0. I will take profits whenever I feel like it and wait to establish the original position at a better price. I expect my trading frequency to range from a few time a day to a few times a week.
I have a day job, that means I cannot watch the market all the time. So I will leave limit orders sometimes and just hope that they will be filled. On the other hand, my day job makes this no fear/no greed experiment possible.
Experiment started on 8/15/03
sell 1 ES @ 990
So basically you buy or sell a single future contract based on your directional bias for the week ahead?
I have a good feeling.. that he will outperform 90% of all the daytraders trying to scalp a few points a day consistently.
yep, i bet he will, too.
That's not very hard
This is certaily my hope. The idea to start this experiment formed after I read a number of Journals on this site over the weekend. All the daytraders and scalpers blowed up sooner or later. I'd like to try something different. Let's see what happens.
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