I told you BS was BS!

Discussion in 'Options' started by wxytrader, Apr 1, 2024.

  1. poopy

    poopy

    Your better model is a better predictor of fwd-vol.

    So your model is over BSM and you're expecting more stat-vol in spot and it comes in lower and you miss your hedges in shares/futures. We're not talking handles here (in edge), we're talking pennies. I know a guy who was pinned on long straddles in CL, missed his hedges and was pinned at the close on LTD. He was off by two handles in vol and lost seven figures.

    Let us know what you use when you're running CIG's MMing group.

    You don't know what you're talking about.
     
    #221     Apr 14, 2024
    taowave likes this.
  2. poopy

    poopy


    Remember the Alamo.
     
    #222     Apr 14, 2024
    taowave likes this.
  3. not for me i guess, not bragging, actually tough realization, but better to know it and wrangle it than deny it

     
    #223     Apr 14, 2024
  4. poopy

    poopy

    We were sitting at PJ Clarke's with a guy from SIG and I asked Mike (Dutch MMing group) about his theta and his response was -$115K. The guy from SIG was LOLling so hard that Mike nearly lost his shit. Traders are assholes.

    He was a week out from LTD. CL expressed like a 7-handle in stat vol the following week. It was surreal. It was moving like EURUSD vol-line.

    Models are generic in vanilla. It really doesn't matter what you run. You're not running a diverse book counterparty to flow (buying the bid, shorting the offer) while owning exchange seats.
     
    #224     Apr 14, 2024
  5. schizo

    schizo

    Dude, what's the point of changing your handle when you constantly blow your own cover?
     
    #225     Apr 14, 2024
  6. taowave

    taowave

    Took you this long??

     
    #226     Apr 14, 2024
  7. schizo

    schizo

    No, I knew it all along. Just didn't see his point when it's apparent to everyone.
     
    #227     Apr 14, 2024
  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    You are lucky dest is on hiatus, because he would blow that shit right out of the water and give you a proper flogging for that word salad.

    "really only the greeks do matter, cause those estimate relative price..."

    I don't even trade options and know that the above is a stupid statement. You new to this craft?
     
    #228     Apr 14, 2024
    taowave likes this.
  9. taowave

    taowave

    take a break..you arent at the top of your game...

    You are missing the obvious



     
    #229     Apr 15, 2024
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    ".... dest is on hiatus..." :sneaky:
     
    #230     Apr 15, 2024