One thing may cause China hesitation to move against USA currency / Business / investment Does China have such exposure
I tend to agree with what you're saying, I have said for years China won't move on Taiwan, but the rhetoric has really heated up as of late and China keeps pushing and pushing the limit, unchecked, in the S. China Sea. There are people a lot smarter than you and I in these matters that are saying it's not a matter of "if" anymore, Xi is going to move on Taiwan." I have no idea, BUT, if they're right, now would be an ideal time. It's not about Biden not getting re-elected... it's because right now, we don't have a President. In a way. And yes, I know we have the Cabinet heads and the Joint Chiefs... but right now, for the first time since... whenever... because of everything that is going on... everything.... there's a 3 month window. And again to your point, I 100% agree, once we have a President elect, regardless of who it is, the window is closed. My point starting this thread was not to postulate whether or not these things would happen, my point was, on the real-life geo-political game of Risk, if China and Russia were so inclined, a window has opened that if used would give them a significant first mover advantage by exploiting (and also intensifying) our political and societal mess. You have to think what would happen. Trump (you guys all say he is a dictator) might say "I'm gonna be President and I have to act" and take matters into his own hands. Not militarily obviously, but via violations of the Hatch Act. The Dems would go nuts, the Maga's would be screaming "he's trying to save our country"... there's no telling what would happen. Chaos within. It's a classic move. "No bombs needed, let your biggest foe fight a war within, against themselves."
Van, I think you're overreacting. And all this because Biden is not going to run? Is this not what you wanted? That he not be president after this term? You are one complex carbohydrate who's hard to please.
The selection of Vance plays out differently around the world. Putin is sort of the winner there because Vance wants out of Ukraine involvement. But part of his position is that we should not be involved in Ukraine because we need to double and triple down on confronting China. Xi not the winner there.
There's no "over-reacting." I merely provide narrative as I see it. I let the rest of you whine back and forward over who wants who to be president. I have my hands full trying to beat the market.
What don't you Canadian freeloaders concentrate on trying to pay your fair share of NATO instead of relying on American protection as too many NATO members do. We don't need freeloaders like you lecturing the Americans on how we need to do even more because you bums are doing nothing.
First, you explain how the back door is being left open. The back door begins at the border of a NATO country- anything beyond that may or may not be protected, at the discretion of the United States.