I Have Not Been Able To Exclude The Possibility Of BLACK MONDAY 04/26

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, Apr 23, 2010.

SPY Next Week

  1. Bullish

    55 vote(s)
    55.0%
  2. Flat

    10 vote(s)
    10.0%
  3. Bearish

    27 vote(s)
    27.0%
  4. I prefer not to say

    8 vote(s)
    8.0%
  1. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    I actually don't know anymore -- I am done buying. If I get stopped, I will not take a direction anymore.
     
    #91     Apr 27, 2010
  2. If the Senators were not so mean to the Goldman guys we would be up another 50.
     
    #92     Apr 27, 2010
  3. 30% VIX jump for -2.5% SPY has to be excessive to my eye . so we should have a bounce back short-term. if somebody could post a formula or a study that relates these two that would be great.


    BUT, look at Jan top! the exact same thing happened: the first large red candle resulted in a giant VIX spike on Jan 21 only to be followed by more sell-off.

    [​IMG]
     
    #93     Apr 27, 2010
  4. not a bad day for active daytraders, so many signals that it was hard to keep up..

    If this keeps up, i might have to vote for Obama


    :D
     
    #94     Apr 27, 2010
  5. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    I'm a bit peeved at myself. Saw an ES short signal 3:25pm with an 1179.50 target zone and didn't trust it. I'm too used to end of day monster rallies after a big selloff. This second selloff caught me totally off guard. I chased the one this morning and snared a nice gain, but was afraid to chase this EOD.
     
    #95     Apr 27, 2010
  6. Um, Mayday?
     
    #96     Apr 27, 2010
  7. I'm sure everyone was thrown off, even those who were short three months ago, like shortie. :D
     
    #97     Apr 27, 2010
  8. yes, the market has done a great job of conditioning people: "buy the dip", "eod rally", etc.
     
    #98     Apr 27, 2010
  9. pspr

    pspr

    What comes to mind is a quote I heard somewhere,

    "I'd Rather Be Lucky Than Good"
     
    #99     Apr 27, 2010
  10. LOL! Yes, I did. I bought the bounce, and then was stopped out. A loss, but not a large one. And it certainly doesn't cancel out all the times where buying the dip worked.

    I do find it somewhat odd that GS was up and the whole market was down, despite the congressional grilling.
     
    #100     Apr 27, 2010