I hate strong trend days

Discussion in 'Trading' started by VEGASDESERT, Jun 11, 2020.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    On a day when just about everything was red my preference would be to look to the short side (if I traded stocks in this case) with this double top into 150% external retracement:
    WAFU.png
    Everyone WAFU tonight haha
     
    #21     Jun 11, 2020
    comagnum likes this.
  2. comagnum

    comagnum

    My oh my, what a linear day! This type of trend line voodoo should enrage the TA haters.

    Once you have 2 reaction highs connect with a trend line & than extend out - that's where she goes, the path of least resistance.

    upload_2020-6-11_14-48-3.png
     
    Last edited: Jun 11, 2020
    #22     Jun 11, 2020
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  3. bone

    bone

    I haven’t been a Pure scalper for a very very long time. Since then I’ve used those skills to leg into inter market spreads on appropriate occasions.

    To me, speaking from my own experience - there’s more risk to waiting for a market pause and a Retracement to fade than there is to race a fresh breakout.

    By racing a fresh breakout
    I mean to hit a bid or lift an offer when the market is moving fast beyond a recently established trading range.

    We are in extraordinary times with the volatility and trading range to justify this measure. Under subdued trading ranges naturally this is a trap.
     
    Last edited: Jun 11, 2020
    #23     Jun 11, 2020
  4. bone

    bone

    When I scalped Treasury Bond Futures - I was very very keyed in on highly correlated drivers.

    I watched the Cantor Fitzgerald and Brokertec Cash Treasury Markets, the CME S&P Futures, the Yen, the Dollar Index, Gold, and Oil as I recall.

    In the PIT you had maybe a half second edge to pick off paper. You had to understand what drove Commercial order flows.
     
    #24     Jun 11, 2020
  5. Overnight

    Overnight

    #25     Jun 11, 2020
    bone likes this.
  6. bone

    bone

    Nice.

    Point being: If you think you’re safe with your market entry - you’re probably NOT.

     
    #26     Jun 11, 2020
  7. Tradex

    Tradex

    Care to elaborate?
    Thanks.
     
    #27     Jun 11, 2020
  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    No wonder you just do spreads now. Much less stress I guess.
     
    #28     Jun 11, 2020
    bone likes this.
  9. bone

    bone

    Overnight (Not US NYC trading hours) the ES Futures will move substantially due to Asian and then later EU market influence.
     
    #29     Jun 11, 2020
  10. Tradex

    Tradex

    Yes of course, same with Forex, but the market could continue its Asian-European trend or reverse completely, later. Not sure how the Asian session could be used to consistently predict tomorrow's price.
     
    #30     Jun 11, 2020