I've been trading for over one year and the only thing I've learned is that I know absolutely nothing. Every time I think I've found some edge the market proves otherwise. I guess I'm posting this here and asking for ideas because I've run out of fresh things to try. I started off with a jejune trend following "method", if I can even call it that, switched to reversals, went back to trend following but with more complicated "rules." I'm still convinced that the essential question is whether people are buying or selling or both or neither, or if there are conditions in which you can be reasonably believe people will buy or sell. and here, no matter how many hours of sleep I lose, I remain stuck.