I am buying 23 k worth of physical gold coins

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by bad feeling, Dec 29, 2007.

  1. with all this talk about canned tuna, i'd say the most valuable thing in armageddon would be a can-opener.

    however, i wouldn't worry the collapse of all civilization. such an event is beyond reason; or if it happened, we'll be all dead (nuclear holocaust). who cares if you have 100k in gold.

    what's more reasonable is the collapse of a single country, even the mighty usa. in that event, gold would retain its value.
     
    #71     Dec 31, 2007
  2. Bad Feeling

    If you're that scarred of the future you'd probably be better off buying a automatic weapon and taking survival classes. During the last depression this country was more agrarian and the people were more self sufficient . There is over 300,000,000 people in this country today alot of them surviving on credit cards and welfare. Where are u gonna go when it really gets bad?? A few years back I purchased an island home off one of the coasts . Unfortunaltely, Theres not enuff of them big and hungry sharks to scare anyone off.................
     
    #72     Jan 1, 2008
  3. I think the problem is the idea that it's possible that 'civilization will end tomorrow'. I don't think you could convincingly describe a scenario in which 'civilization ends tomorrow'. Not even nuclear war involves that.

    I don't think we have the same conception of what various doomsday scenarios would look like. If the US dollar was no longer being accepted within the continental U.S., things would obviously have progressed pretty far, but by no means does it imply that 'civilization would have ended'. In fact there would likely still be millions and millions of people around and that in itself would necessarily result in the exchange of goods. In my opinion, it is impossible that gold would suddenly cease to be a store of value, exchangeable for goods or services. Gold is money and there will always be a need for money in human business transactions.

    However, difference of opinion is what makes a market. You obviously won't be buying gold if you live to see the day when the U.S. becomes economically unstable enough that the dollar is not accepted.
     
    #73     Jan 1, 2008
  4. m22au

    m22au

    Newguy,

    For those like me who do not live in the USA, it may still be worthwhile to hold physical gold in the event of the collapse of the US Dollar.

    If and when the US Dollar price of gold goes up by a lot (eg. if an apple costs 100 USD, then maybe gold could be at 80,000 USD per ounce), then it is possible that the gold ETF and gold futures could trade at a substantial discount to the spot value.

    One only needs to look at the open interest in gold futures to know that it would be difficult to find a sufficient supply of gold if all those holding gold futures wanted to take delivery.

    Furthermore in your China example below from 1960, you did write that

    I infer from this that those who held gold during this time would still be holding the same gold after the turbulent period was over. Therefore I believe that in this situation, gold was a true store of value.


     
    #74     Jan 1, 2008
  5. m22au

    m22au

    I second the comments from traderNik.

    It is likely that my conception of a doomsday scenario differs from that of newguy.

    Like traderNik, I can foresee a situation where the US Dollar collapses so much that it ceases to be a reliable 'medium of exchange', but not so bad that 'civilisation has ended'.

    I agree with traderNik that in this type of situation, there would be plenty of people who would still be alive, who would likely want to use something (other than the US Dollar) as a medium of exchange.

    Furthermore, if there was a social breakdown in the US, I am somewhat insulated from that as I live on a different continent.

    There are plenty of examples of countries whose currencies have collapsed, yet there has not been a complete breakdown in society.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation


     
    #75     Jan 1, 2008
  6. Genije

    Genije

    bot gold long ago, made a lot
     
    #76     Jan 1, 2008
  7. ehorn

    ehorn

    #77     Jan 1, 2008
  8. currency collapse without civil unrest is more likely in countries that outlaw gun ownership or have military rule to start with.....

    now if people begin to starve (happened in the US Great Depression), all bets are off............
     
    #78     Jan 1, 2008
  9. If the dollar goes to pot (and it doesn't have to be nuclear holocaust pot, just continued long term fiscal horsehit pot + greedy bankers screwing everyone pot), I take my gold, move to Europe or some other place where the economy hasn't tanked and live there. Not sure why "gold tanks to $400" and "social order comes to an end and people are stabbing each other over cans of tuna" are the only options considered. Are we all 5 years old?
     
    #79     Jan 1, 2008
  10. I'm not sure why we can't reorganize entirely outside the bankers' make-believe world.
     
    #80     Jan 1, 2008