I Am Betting On Oil Price to Collapse,

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by adadadog, Jul 14, 2012.

  1. I consider that good news. We're not going to starve with oil at those prices, and there is clearly abundant supply at those prices and above.
     
    #11     Jul 14, 2012
  2. When Euro Crisis, then fiscal cliff, then weak dollar. Oil in USD terms will be more expensive tomorrow than it is today. Especially given the fiscal cliff.

    Might as well short gold as well.

    You're short 3 front month minis but your position is long term?

    You would be better served trading the back of the curve. There is huge backwardation in the back of WTI and many compelling Dec/Dec and Dec/June spreads. You will probably find better margin on the spreads as well.
     
    #12     Jul 15, 2012
  3.  
    #13     Jul 15, 2012
  4. to each his own, as far as me and my family go we will never be short crude as long as I am alive. It might go down, but I doubt it will collapse.

    If I was going to go short, I would try shorting USO, since they can't seem to make any money over there even when CL is going up.
     
    #14     Jul 15, 2012
  5. vicirek

    vicirek

    Presidential Election is driving oil price now and it clearly indicates that oil price has nothing to do with supply/demand but local and global politics. It is used as proxy for tax without increasing taxes and for money transfer abroad without raising money laundering flags. So it is safe to short until November!
     
    #15     Jul 15, 2012
  6. very stupid bet
     
    #16     Jul 15, 2012
  7. i'm long CL
     
    #17     Jul 15, 2012
  8. vicirek

    vicirek

    Are you talking to me!? Then add the fact that some idiots started drilling in the US and morons from Canada want o build pipeline. This is big no no. How we can manipulate price of oil then? Oil price has to go down so it will be uneconomical to drill in the US and Canada until this will be under strict monopoly control again. That what is happening with NG now anyway.
     
    #18     Jul 15, 2012
  9. no,i am talking to myself
     
    #19     Jul 15, 2012
  10. vicirek

    vicirek

    Good sense of humor.

    Oil below 60 spells trouble for oil sands but then somebody in Arabia might be on life support or there is loud blast somewhere and oil price moves again to the least expected level.
     
    #20     Jul 16, 2012