This guy is 10000% on the money with what he is saying, I have been saying for a VERY long time that this economy is YEARS away from a recovery, a recovery that we wont see until at least 2020+....He says the country is going into a 10 YEAR decline which is ABSOLUTELY TRUE. You are a damn idiot if you think this will be a smooth "V" shaped recovery. Watch his 5 minute interview and listen to what he says and if you don't agree with with it like I or every other bear out there, then your just another FOOL. "The Worst Is Yet to Come": If You're Not Petrified, You're Not Paying Attention http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/248398/"Th......= Posted May 15, 2009 09:31am EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Recession, Banking, Autos, Housing Related: ^DJI, ^GSPC, DDR, XLF, GM, RWR The green shoots story took a bit of hit this week between data on April retail sales, weekly jobless claims and foreclosures. But the whole concept of the economy finding its footing was "preposterous" to begin with, says Howard Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz & Associates. "We're in a complete mess and the consumer is smart enough to know it," says Davidowitz, whose firm does consulting for the retail industry. "If the consumer isn't petrified, he or she is a damn fool." Davidowitz, who is nothing if not opinionated (and colorful), paints a very grim picture: "The worst is yet to come with consumers and banks," he says. "This country is going into a 10-year decline. Living standards will never be the same." This outlook is based on the following main points: * With the unemployment rate rising into double digits - and that's not counting the millions of "underemployed" Americans - consumers are hitting the breaks, which is having a huge impact, given consumer spending accounts for about 70% of economic activity. * Rising unemployment and the $8 trillion negative wealth effect of housing mean more Americans will default on not just mortgages but student loans and auto loans and credit card debt. * More consumer loan defaults will hit banks, which are also threatened by what Davidowitz calls a "depression" in commercial real estate, noting the recent bankruptcy of General Growth Properties and distressed sales by Developers Diversified and other REITs. As for all the hullabaloo about the stress tests, he says they were a sham and part of a "con game to get private money to finance these institutions because [Treasury] can't get more money from Congress. It's the Ã¢â¬Ëgreater fool' theory." "We're now in Barack Obama's world where money goes into the most inefficient parts of the economy and we're bailing everyone out," says Daviowitz, who opposes bailouts for financials and automakers alike. "The bailout money is in the sewer and gone."