Howard Davidowitz: "The Worst Is Yet to Come"......and its so true!!!!

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by S2007S, May 15, 2009.

  1. S2007S


    This guy is 10000% on the money with what he is saying, I have been saying for a VERY long time that this economy is YEARS away from a recovery, a recovery that we wont see until at least 2020+....He says the country is going into a 10 YEAR decline which is ABSOLUTELY TRUE. You are a damn idiot if you think this will be a smooth "V" shaped recovery. Watch his 5 minute interview and listen to what he says and if you don't agree with with it like I or every other bear out there, then your just another FOOL.

    "The Worst Is Yet to Come": If You're Not Petrified, You're Not Paying Attention"Th......=

    Posted May 15, 2009 09:31am EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Recession, Banking, Autos, Housing
    Related: ^DJI, ^GSPC, DDR, XLF, GM, RWR
    The green shoots story took a bit of hit this week between data on April retail sales, weekly jobless claims and foreclosures. But the whole concept of the economy finding its footing was "preposterous" to begin with, says Howard Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz & Associates.

    "We're in a complete mess and the consumer is smart enough to know it," says Davidowitz, whose firm does consulting for the retail industry. "If the consumer isn't petrified, he or she is a damn fool."

    Davidowitz, who is nothing if not opinionated (and colorful), paints a very grim picture: "The worst is yet to come with consumers and banks," he says. "This country is going into a 10-year decline. Living standards will never be the same."

    This outlook is based on the following main points:

    * With the unemployment rate rising into double digits - and that's not counting the millions of "underemployed" Americans - consumers are hitting the breaks, which is having a huge impact, given consumer spending accounts for about 70% of economic activity.
    * Rising unemployment and the $8 trillion negative wealth effect of housing mean more Americans will default on not just mortgages but student loans and auto loans and credit card debt.
    * More consumer loan defaults will hit banks, which are also threatened by what Davidowitz calls a "depression" in commercial real estate, noting the recent bankruptcy of General Growth Properties and distressed sales by Developers Diversified and other REITs.

    As for all the hullabaloo about the stress tests, he says they were a sham and part of a "con game to get private money to finance these institutions because [Treasury] can't get more money from Congress. It's the ‘greater fool' theory."

    "We're now in Barack Obama's world where money goes into the most inefficient parts of the economy and we're bailing everyone out," says Daviowitz, who opposes bailouts for financials and automakers alike. "The bailout money is in the sewer and gone."
  2. Yawn.

    More "cut and paste" from the resident ET prop poster . . . How much does Baron pay you, anyway?
  3. S2007S



    KEEP yawning away while you stay all positive on this great economy and stock market we have ahead of us.
  4. Hasn't the market taught you your lesson already that stock prices and the economy are two different things?
  5. Just wait till the PPT uses up the last of the 9 trillion!
  6. DOW 5K in another year or two.

    600K jobs still being lost a month but I'm told this is a lagging indicator and doesn't mean anything.

    Neither does GM announcing half of their dealerships closing.

    Record home foreclosures for the month of April also mean nothing.

    14 trillion debt is super duper news. We're borrowing money to just pay off the interest. Forests have vanished from all the money we're printing.

    We're still in inning two of this mess my friends.

    The United States of America is going to become a 3rd world country within the next 30 years. We produce nothing and half the population are drug addicts.
  7. Obombsy Womsey will bail us all out!
  8. Div_Arb


    Buh, Buh, But, Stock_trad3r said DOW was going to 15,000 and GOOG to $700? How can this be!!
  9. hayman


    I agree - we are heading into a much worsening situation. I do not agree with the Obama deficit spending policies at all, but let's not forget which administration dug us into this ditch. Just because the guy is collecting a pension, doesn't mean he is no longer culpable. Cash is king !
  10. Perhaps we should all move to Europe.
    #10     May 15, 2009