how would you play this? breakout / pullback / other?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Growly, Aug 14, 2018.

  1. JSOP

    JSOP

    I would buy it when I get the next crop report from Clearance Beeks. :sneaky:
     
    #11     Aug 14, 2018
  2. Growly

    Growly

    Why not buy the underlying? or sell puts for the same strike to cheapen your cost?
     
    #12     Aug 14, 2018
  3. Well, I was tripping over my fingers trying to get that entered quickly enough to review and fire it off....for one thing, so another leg was out of the question based on time. But more to the point, I don't want the downside exposure to it, and by rolling and building-in I can control a much higher delta without increasing my initial risk.
     
    #13     Aug 14, 2018
    Growly likes this.
  4. Growly

    Growly

    thanks for the answer. may it blast upwards!
     
    #14     Aug 14, 2018
  5. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown


    yes clearly a bullish triangle buy on first or second rsi retracement or %r in your case you would have been dollars ahead of the game. do what is unconformable to make money get positive slippage.

    have a backup plan to sell reverse and or stop out if you can only go long. but for sake's don't be turtle soup.
     
    #15     Aug 14, 2018
    Growly likes this.
  6. Mysteron

    Mysteron

    The large final bar suggests a price decay is most likely, so wait until price begins to fall and then short. All that crap other than the chart is distracting.
     
    #16     Aug 14, 2018
  7. Handle123

    Handle123

    I see a very seldom H&S pattern going with the trend, should have bought it today on yesterdays breakout of the high, would have given a small risk below recent lows. At worst, be at a breakeven stop after today's close.
     
    #17     Aug 14, 2018
  8. maxinger

    maxinger

    how would you play this? Run away !

    reason # 1.
    Time to enter was around early 2017.
    Now it is time to take some profit, not add on position.
    Don't just purely look at price action and chart pattern.
    Look at bigger picture.
    Market is very unforgiving to those to enter far too late.
    Those who entered in early 2017 might be laughing at those
    who missed the earlier boat.

    reason # 2.
    look at how jerky and spiky the chart is.
    it will continue to be jerky and spiky.


    reason # 3.
    last recession was in 2008 ie about 10 years ago.
    It is about time ...

    anyway do your own analysis, and do whatever you want.
    you don't have to listen to me.
     
    Last edited: Aug 15, 2018
    #18     Aug 15, 2018
    ironchef, MarkBrown and Growly like this.
  9. tomorton

    tomorton

    Always interesting to look at a chart I would otherwise never see.

    I am trend-following only, with a long-term set-up and intermediate-term set-up. I don't trade reversals or break-outs specifically, or chart patterns like ascending triangles.

    Long-term, I would only have started looking at this in the last week of July, by which time momentum from this point of view had dropped off - we now have 7 consecutive weekly bars with overlapping ranges - so there are better opportunities elsewhere.

    Intermediate-term, I would have got a weak buy signal 02/07 and a stronger one the next day. Both would have gone into profit but I would have had an exit signal on the 30th. A further buy signal followed on 08/08 but that has occurred while price was now in the highs of a range, with no over-riding reason to take this.

    The indices are still bullish long-term and intermediate-term so no issues for me there.
     
    #19     Aug 15, 2018
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  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    IMO, based on a couple of things I looked at, upside probably will be limited to Feb'18 high area $37.
     
    #20     Aug 15, 2018
    Growly likes this.