How will YOU determine that we have bottomed?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by SoyUnGanador, Jun 16, 2022.

  1. KGTrader4

    KGTrader4

    Yup, senior moment, my age is showing. It was Paul Volcker
     
    #51     Jun 22, 2022
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  2. savoir

    savoir

    Are you talking about “irrational exuberance” Greenspan? His official comments made clear he took account of the stock market. So much so that he was accused of “jawboning” the stock market at one of the annual reports to Congress and he got very defensive.

    After that incident he seemed to care also about the perception that he cared about the stock market. That may partly explain why he raised 50 basis points at the meeting after the tech crash, to show that he wasn’t going to let the stock market crash affect policy. What a blunder that turned out to be.
     
    #52     Jun 22, 2022
  3. KGTrader4

    KGTrader4

    See my post above yours, i meant Paul Volcker. But yeah, i remember Greenspans irrational exuberance remark
     
    #53     Jun 22, 2022
  4. savoir

    savoir

    LOL okay I should have checked before clicking Post Reply. Your post wasn’t there when I started typing.
     
    #54     Jun 22, 2022
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  5. MKTrader

    MKTrader

    I believe the first "save the market" cut was in 1987 by Greenspan. I was alive back then but not paying much attention to stocks. That's when the famous/infamous "Greenspan Put" phrase started.
     
    #55     Jun 22, 2022
    KGTrader4 likes this.
  6. %%
    Looks like Mr Greenspan paid more attention to markets than the market did to his ''irrational exuberance'' comment.
    WITH 2020 hindsight \MSFT made a yearly OCT 1987 bottom\ but did a 50% drawdown that month. IF we had to guess one bottom maybe month, OCT is a good ''bear killer '' as Stock Traders Almanac nicknames it.
    BUT OCT being a bear killer did not work so well in 2000, or 2008.
    Main thing i remember[reading]about Mr Volker ; he took very great offense @ Bunker Hunt's rebuke ''any f*ol can run a printing press, buy silver......'':D:D
     
    #56     Jun 23, 2022
    savoir likes this.
  7. savoir

    savoir

    October won’t work so well this year either.
     
    #57     Jun 23, 2022
    murray t turtle likes this.
  8. wildchild

    wildchild

    Hey Morthole, you claimed if QE didnt happen it would continue to tank.

    Lets see the results.

    3,666.77 when you made this proclaimation.
    3,911.74 5 Trading Days later.

    Not too bright are you.
     
    #58     Jun 24, 2022
  9. Overnight

    Overnight

    Are you new to the markets? This is what is called a bear market bounce. This exact scenario happened twice already over the past 3 months.

    sp6monthviewwildchild.JPG

    The red arrow marks the peak of first bear-market bounce.

    The green arrow marks the peak of the second bear-market bounce.

    The blue arrow? This marks what you are calling, in all your genius analysis, the market bottom. If you really believe it, go long with all your bluster, mister.

    Revisit this post in 5 weeks.
     
    Last edited: Jun 24, 2022
    #59     Jun 24, 2022
    jbusse likes this.
  10. schizo

    schizo

    When all the suckers have been sucked out from the market. :sneaky:
     
    #60     Jun 24, 2022
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