Sell reinsurers and buy yen but the moves have happened, swiss re was off 6% on european open. These insurers will sell some US investments like treasuries and buy yen to pay the liabilities, gov may do the same. You could possibly buy industrial vehicle makers, there's going to be a lot of bulldozers needed to shift that tsunami mud and debris If any of their car manufacturing capability has been disrupted may be a boost for US competitors. Failing that get long Quiksilver surfboards
yeah i already have ACE and XL shorts lined up, looking for a few more plays though as I only trade NYSE intraday Industrial equiment is an interesting idea though, thanks
sell JPY and JGBs Government will spend, BoJ will print There is no other option fiscal deficit reduction plans go out of the window Rally in JPY and JGBs may last for a couple of days but to issue more JGBs Japan may need foreign buyers for a change, so that will mean higher yields to compensate for risk
Something like this will caus the markets to sell off again on the open and it should hit bottom before lunch and after we hear more news perhaps a little momentum back to the upside depending on how bad this affects Hawaii and the West coast
normally of course a fall in the Nikkei would see JPY and JGB buying as a safe haven...and this was the immediate market reaction it seems I guess algo trading systems that kick in based on the standard correlations may have triggered the initial rally in JGBs. But this is a situation when usual correlations can break down, once the debt raising ramifications are understood i.e. triple weakness stocks bonds and currency all sell off
Did we see a short squeeze in the first 20 mins of SPY/ES action? I have a feeling a lot of people sold short the open because of the quake.