How to trade the EUR now

Discussion in 'Forex' started by irniger, Mar 17, 2013.

  1. yes, smart traders prudently lose money every day by getting stopped out

    dumb traders average down and take one big loss

    see the difference?
     
    #101     Apr 28, 2013
  2. ... and the "prudent" compounds their smaller losses with higher spread/commission costs
     
    #102     Apr 28, 2013

  3. Range trade? Easy profit unless you choose wrong direction from top or bottom of range.
     
    #103     Apr 28, 2013
  4. contra

    contra

    whats this UniCredit and a few other banks not complying with Dodd-Frank and registering with CFTC. "Risks big US/rest-of-world division between OTC derivatives markets" news. Not sure the effect this would have on markets.

    Small positive Italy formed a gov... could see early relief maybe.
     
    #104     Apr 28, 2013
  5. man, I hope not. I have been short that eur.usd since the beginning of time

    I took a very nice profit, but I can't remember if that even paid for all the small times I got stopped out

    then I started selling it all the way up

    now I am short a full load at 3059

    with a stop to start scaling out at a loss at 3099

    I don't care if it goes down, but it is really going to take a toll on me psychologically if it keeps going up

    like I said, 3099, "Take it! Take another little piece of my heart Baby

    You know you got it if it makes you feel good"
     
    #105     Apr 28, 2013
  6. contra

    contra

    I am guessing not much volatility early in week, around 3050/70 mid point of this range. Id like to buy shots down toward 2950/00 not sure it will go though. I'll let this sort itself out, ECB and NFP this week.
     
    #106     Apr 28, 2013
  7. just another losing day for me, 26 pips against me on the open, oh well, the bulls need relief, and I am glad I could do my part giving it to them

    but they are starting to wear out their welcome

    they have my back against the wall, no more money I am willing to commit to short eur.usd

    so we will just have to see if they will be as polite to me as I have been to them

    I know my damn starts breaking at 3099
     
    #107     Apr 28, 2013
  8. contra

    contra

    to the bulls, you're just liquidity... nothing more nothing less it's just business.

    on a serious note, 26 pips is a tight stop. I'd have a stop above 3110. In the early part of the week with all else being relatively steady I'd look to fade at anything above 3125/30 and below 2980. If I had to do something.
     
    #108     Apr 28, 2013
  9. elisab

    elisab

    When the volatility is so low, the trading is like pulling a coin.
     
    #109     Apr 28, 2013
  10. oh, don't worry, if things keep moving against me, I'll have a stop above 3110, but by then it will be protecting less than a full load, I'm not a very good guesser when it comes to which way it is going to go, but I do ok when it comes to how much I should bet

    that's why this time of year, I take some comfort in my illegal baseball betting account. Always the same amount, no matter what just happened.

    Once you start averaging down, then it all becomes a matter of position size

    to each his own, some like guessing, I like position sizing

    either way, you have to guess

    I just find when it comes to eur.usd, I am not a very good guesser

    but that still doesn't stop me from guessing

    and you were right, and I was wrong, a little relief on the open Sunday night, just like you guessed
     
    #110     Apr 28, 2013