How To Read Channels

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by elovemer, Dec 8, 2008.

  1. sorry... i didn't see this post until now

    haven't been keeping up with this journal

    i will answer your questions


     
    #701     Dec 27, 2010
  2. i'll do my best to answer your questions. if you have any more questions feel free.

    i don't have a trading system based around channels.
    i use range and fibs for entries and exits.

    if you wanted to traded solely based on channels....
    i would say ... wait for a pullback on a swing time frame in an uptrend
    ..for example one hour chart or two hour chart.

    when the pullback amount is comparable to previous swing pullbacks.
    ..wait for a big bounce which looks like the trend has returned and the pullback is over.
    when it runs out of steam to the upside... draw a TL above... sloping down
    that gives you two points... 1st and 3rd.

    ...your 2nd point is the low of the pullback
    now you have 3 points and you can draw you channel.
    this is a down channel in an uptrend

    now you attempt to go long on a drop to centerline... or 50 %... center line of the channel
    your stop would be somewhere below the 50% line

    your target is the upper wall of the channel...

    if it breaks thru the upper wall, then you can attempt to ride a return to the trend... where your profit target would new trend highs

    if it can't, then it could easily make a new lower swing low
    but if it reaches the upper wall, you have moved your stop up accordingly

    in a down channel, your trendline points are on top
    in an up channel, your trendline points are on bottom

    if you need an up channel, and you only have points below..
    in other words a lower low with a bounce in between...
    you can use a pitchfork... not a channel

    what do i use these for ?
    i use these to try to pinpoint the end of a swing turn

    that is.... using three points in a minor down trend to get point 4 for a return to major up trend
    ... and vice versa for a major down trend
    ... although i find they work better to pinpoint a return to an up trend

    having said that.... i base entries and exits on range expansion limits and fibs... as i said already.
    ---------------------------------------------------------
    reminder...
    higher lows, you can draw an up channel if you have 3 points
    lower highs , you can draw a down channel if yo have 3 points

    lower lows, you can draw a pitchfork upwards
    higher highs, you can draw a pitchfork downwards

    my meaning is that these conditions give you the most reliable channels and forks

    any other questions... feel free

     
    #702     Dec 27, 2010
  3. ... what is wrong with answering questions ?


     
    #703     Dec 27, 2010
  4. Thanks for your reply.

    I am still a little confused about which 3 points to choose.

    In an uptrend, meaning there are higher highs and higher lows, are u saying that u take 2 LOWS to make a trendline, and then draw another parallel line to the highs? I use the 2 HIGHS for an uptrend to make a trendline, and then parallel it to the low. For a downtrend, i use the 2 LOWS to make a trendline, and then parallel it to the high. Is this the wrong way?

    Channels are very powerful, but the key is to know what exactly are the RULES TO GET THE 3 CONNECTING POINTS.

    I also use pitchforks, 50% channel retracements, 50% channel extensions, and drawing trendlines connecting HIGHS to LOWS. I find that example going short on an upper channel gives the best risk reward trade, however I am still unable to create a system out of it.

    Cheers
     
    #704     Dec 27, 2010
  5. in an uptrend.
    you take the first two lows... connect them
    the third point occurs between those two points... on the top

    in a downtrend
    you take the first two highs... connect them
    the third point occurs between those two points... on the bottom

    nothing is right or wrong in trading... if you can make money with it.
    ....having said that, Jimi Hendrix forms his channels this way ... and we all know how well he plays guitar

    for myself ... i definitely consider this to be superior to the way you are describing.
    but like i said... nothing is right or wrong if you are making money.


     
    #705     Dec 27, 2010
  6. by the way ... i am no authority on channels.

    ....no one is
     
    #706     Dec 27, 2010
  7. no more questions ?

    if so ... no problem

    if not .... post some channels
     
    #707     Dec 30, 2010
  8. after the fact...........

    looks easy after the fact

    the trick is... to have it drawn BEFORE price arrives
     
    #708     Dec 31, 2010
  9. this is set up for a centerline pullback on wednesday ....

    ... if it wants to
     
    #709     Jan 4, 2011
  10. opened at centerline

    first target is upper wall

    .... after that it is up in the air
     
    #710     Jan 5, 2011