would it be more profitable to buy a straddle/strangle on the spy expiring nov9 or a latter expiration? is there a more profitable way to play this election? I think if crooked Hilary wins the market will still fall because of the descending triangle we are in as well as past history shows once a candidate is chosen the market tends to fall for the next few days. want to know your opinion, thanks
To hedge. I don't want 4 years of that corrupt pay-for-play person in office. So is there a legal online gambling site where I can bet on her winning?
The rally has most likely already happened - today. The stock traders almanac shows the day before the election has finished up 81.3% of the time.
I agree, Tomorrow will most likely be somewhat choppy...the move already happened today It's that old trading adage: trade the rumor, sell the news. But you shouldn't necessarily get excited about news/events -- but rather have a steady, daily, simple trading game plan.
Some people have been saying that the Mexican Peso MXP (Globex /6M) is being traded bullishly as a proxy for an HRC win.
I'm sure you could figure out someway to bet on the election. But understand that it is merely speculation, and probably more of a gamble than playing an earnings call.