How To Not Chase?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by chaser123, May 13, 2021.

  1. kmiklas

    kmiklas

    2019. I'd been trading heavily five years by that point, and had learned how to normalize cost across trades, and isolate a specific alpha with a set of hedges.

    42%! My best year.

    Then I got too cocky, and made a big stupid FOMO bet during COVID, and lost it all and then some. I got wild, and didn't diversify properly.

    This year I've moved back to what I was doing in 2019. I made back everything I lost, and I'm up 13% a/o Friday.
     
    Last edited: May 16, 2021
    #31     May 16, 2021
    Onra likes this.
  2. Nice comeback! It is not up to everyone to recover after such a massive loss. Keep up the good work!
     
    #32     May 16, 2021
  3. kmiklas

    kmiklas

    Thank you... it was brutal. It hurt so much I sold out for 7 months.
     
    #33     May 16, 2021
  4. easymon1

    easymon1

    Do you backstop your trades with support or resistance levels?
     
    #34     May 16, 2021
  5. panzerman

    panzerman

    How do you not chase? Buy low, sell high is my recommendation. Not easy to execute on when high and low are relative, and not absolute. I use a highpass filter followed by an Inverse Fisher Transform, in order to try and get a better than 50/50 chance of a price reversal entry point.
     
    #35     May 16, 2021
  6. easymon1

    easymon1

  7. chaser123

    chaser123

    Trade that worked(today):
    1.JPG
    Trade that didn't work(before chased then hoped it would go back :():
    2.JPG
    Light Blue is long, Gray is short.

    I understand, I have tried swinging before but holding overnight is a problem for me, I might be using to much size when I swing. Appreciate the help.

    If we mean backstop as, stop losses I do not.

    Thanks.
     
    #37     May 17, 2021
  8. easymon1

    easymon1

    Stop loss levels are a whole 'nother topic.
    more to the point was whether you like to backstop your entries with a support level from which price might rise / a resistance level from which price might drop.
     
    #38     May 17, 2021
  9. easymon1

    easymon1

    For the pictured "Trade that didn't work" above, what denotes your actual entry and exit points?
     
    #39     May 17, 2021
  10. chaser123

    chaser123

    Well I did have a plan, I wanted to buy at the low that was just made(breakout level), but like I said I like confirmation it happened then I waited if I should buy and doubting myself. I guess I broke my plan and it headed higher and broke a new high then I chased into it. I now am buying at levels I plan to buy at, and if they fail I exit for a small loss or gain based on price action.
     
    #40     May 17, 2021