How To Manage A Watch List

Discussion in 'Risk Management' started by dkravchenko, Nov 24, 2009.

  1. hah
     
    #11     Nov 26, 2009
  2. Play nice.
     
    #12     Nov 27, 2009
  3. Attached is a complex page with several intricate columns obtained by multiplication of two numbers to obtain a value on a time chart that has an entry every 30 minutes according to two time zones.

    At the bootom of the page is a series of bars that are in direct correspondence to time on the time chart at the top of the page.

    Deceptively, the three columns relating to wiating, entering and exiting have different colors. research the middle of the page a person can find the same colors and the same words as found on the columns.

    A Universe is used to have a selection of stocks that follow the volume and timing characterisitcs set for in THIS attachment. A sample of a contemportary unitverse will follow one post hence.

    A person does not trade a stock in its Dry Up prtion of the cycle. Here he does learn the value for the entry signal however.

    In a very complex and diffeicult to understand manner all based on a pair of deductive hypothesis, A stock begins is long half cycle AFTER and in the morning, IF and just WHEN the stock is NO LONGER in Dry Up volume.

    THe morning the stcok BEGINS its FIRST RISING VOLUME. Amazingly the prior Dry Up volume is EXCEEDED in the morning.

    Within 1 1/2 hours of the DU being exceeded, the price will lift off the bottom of the price cycle and head for a peak.

    As shown and explains in 7 to 15 minute illustrated charts in "Putting the Pieces Together, on a Monday after a Sunday planning session, The listed stocks on the Batting order did just as the one page sheet attached (see page 30 of the referenced document.

    A one page attachment is not clear and concise as you say. Neither is providing a blow by blow description with 30 illustrations that is 77 pages long and available to all. It is a dscription of a set of stock calls that came down the pipe exactly as called.

    The calling has been in effect for four generations (over 52 years).

    Now it is 2009 and PC's have been invented and so has Excel and so has the color printer.

    Someone comes on ET and suggests that stock trading in markets can be automated. Well it has. It is also done quite simply and monitored quite simply as a manual effort.

    Anyone can use it; anyone can see it done every day.

    Anyone can, as you did cast, this aside and offer another approach. Good for you and too bad for those who use your approach.
     
    #13     Nov 27, 2009
  4. Here is the Universe on Excel.

    The Intial Analysis Sheet is used to fill in columns B, C and D.

    Column B is the rank and its units are points/day expressed as a percent change. A high rank has peredence over a low rank. For a rank of better than 3.33 a persom makes more than 10% with a three day hold. The ojective is to choose stocks with high rank and short holds.

    The Hold period is in column C and is listed as DURATION. The objective is to increase annual cycles from 30 to 40 t0 50 to 60 to 80 to 100. At 100 two trades a week are normal. To do this you enter late and leave early after taking the best portion of the long half cycle.

    Column D show the time in days between trades. This is the short half cycle and the DU period.

    Columns F, G H and I come from processing volume as indicated.

    The sheet is alphabetical for ease of entry of the values.

    To Use the Excel for trading, sort by column E and make up a batting order as used in "Putting the Pieces Together"

    The listed stocks on the Universe come from a sort using EPS and RS contraints to get the best QUALITY stocks from a list of about 15,000 stocks.

    A week ago I posted the calls for ES a day ahead of time. There Traderzones got to see 20 consequtive trades in their proper order and the last event was the call of the end of a short channel using the time it was to occur. It did.

    Here you see a universe soreted by column E to give you the order of the Universe stocks long half cycle occurring.

    One page that give you the cycle timing in a normized manner for using lists and one excell with columns A through I.

    As redneck says this is something he cannot read nor understand because it is too difficult because of my failures he outlines. Maybe you can exceed redneck and forge through a onepager with three rules and have a Universe with which to trade it.

    People younger than fifth graders are going to struggle. Anyone through fifth grade CAN grasp making money at the rates shown in the RANK column.

    this has a Sharpe ratio of over 60 for those who know how to do sharpe ratios. Worden Bros did the anualized sharpe results on the NAZ 100, a list I consider of low quality.
     
    #14     Nov 27, 2009
  5. Sorry the universe didn't appear in the edit.
     
    #15     Nov 27, 2009