how much trades for validate a strategy

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by nememoris, Nov 18, 2013.

  1. The op only needs a t,n, or f test with at least 30 trades since he has 50 trades on 250 bars he's in the market at least 20% of the time with plenty of significance

    You are talking about 250*390=97,500 annual bars meaning at 15 minutes apiece you'd need to have trades in at least 1-2% of the data or trades in 975-1950 bars so at 15 minutes 65-130 trades would show enough significance and you should only use it if calmar (apr:dd)>1.
     
    #41     Dec 2, 2013
  2. clowner

    clowner

    So, any answer or advice on how do you validate a strategy working with EOD bars?
     
    #42     Dec 2, 2013
  3. clowner

    clowner

    So, any answer or advice on how do you validate a strategy working with EOD bars Please?

    Will my approach was misguided?

    Thanks.

     
    #43     Dec 2, 2013
  4. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    42 (sorry, couldn't help it)
     
    #44     Dec 2, 2013
  5. clowner

    clowner

    Thanks dbphoenix.

    @bwolinsky please, how do you estimate the number of trades in relation to the number of bars? i don't understand well your calculus, it's very interesting.
     
    #45     Dec 2, 2013
  6. Dhalsim

    Dhalsim

    Thanks.

    If i understand this correctly then let me apply this to one of my strategies:

    It is on 1min chart. Based on backtest results the avg bars in trade is 105.
    So 95,500 bars annually and 105 bar avg trade then i need to trade in atleast 1%-2% of data so 975-1950 bars, at 105 this is 9 trades or 18.5 trades per year??? This can't be right can it?

    Also, annual rate of return is 14.9% and max strategy draw down is 3.45%.
     
    #46     Dec 2, 2013
  7. clowner

    clowner

    @Dhalsim, how do you obtain 95,500?. Thanks.
     
    #47     Dec 2, 2013
  8. Dhalsim

    Dhalsim

    Blowinsky did in his example. I said i am using 1min data and therefore in a single day there 390 bars (1min bar in a single day).

    390 (1min bars) * 250 trading days per year = 95500 bars of 1min bars in a single year
     
    #48     Dec 2, 2013
  9. clowner

    clowner

    Thanks @Dhalsim. I got it.
     
    #49     Dec 2, 2013
  10. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    400 to 600 trades. JMO.
     
    #50     Dec 2, 2013