================= Otrader; I see you used the ''confused ''[ ]illustration- keep trading like you can ''predict '' & the market will clear up that confusion in a way you do not like LOL Also it depends on one's age; younger you are the more risk they blindly/sunglasses take..... Wisdom is profitable to direct.
it seems that before you ask someone how much to risk, you should work on your methodology. At this point, it seems that you have none. Learn to back test a methodology, where you could see what is the risk. I am not trying to be rude, but it seems that you have have "an opinion" that you are trying to capitalize on, and this is the wrong place to ask people about it because its a traders forum. If you have a strong opinion, then risk what you can live with and would keep your marriage alive LOL
LOL http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antithesis http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2964410#post2964410
Instead of saying a certain percentage, I'll use the baseball analogy.... Go for base hits, it's steady, base hit after base hit. You'll get to home plate in a very measured, safe way. Everyone likes home runs! Home runs are exciting and even sexy, but they are few and far between and many end up striking out. I believe Confucius said the same thing as a child...