How much of the intra-day bar can be captured?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, Jan 5, 2007.

How Much of Intra-day Bar Can be Captured?

  1. >70%

    6 vote(s)
    28.6%
  2. >50%

    3 vote(s)
    14.3%
  3. >30%

    6 vote(s)
    28.6%
  4. >10%

    2 vote(s)
    9.5%
  5. >5%

    1 vote(s)
    4.8%
  6. >1%

    1 vote(s)
    4.8%
  7. 0%

    2 vote(s)
    9.5%
  1. Only trading intra-day what proportion of the daily bar can one expect to capture? Let's limit the discussion to stocks that have reasonable liquidity (Vol >200K). To help with the discussion please indicate your reasoning behind your statement (backtesting, trading, guess, etc.).
     
  2. rosy2

    rosy2

    50% minus the tick value
     
  3. is it 50% from any stock on any given day, or from a handful of stocks that show a particular setup?
     
  4. I don't think theres a simple answer to your question.

    The 'bar' tells you very little about how price moves , other than the h/l/c.

    No method can capture ALL the paths price might take .

    All you can take is an estimate based on a past sample, and that would not guarantee future results.
     
  5. testing a simple strategy (5-day mov average crossing above 6-day moving average with entry at open, exit at close) on MSFT for the last 10 years gives 0.06% per trade. compare this to buying at the low and selling at the high of the day: 2.74% per trade.

    the ratio is about 2%. adding a simple stop did not dramatically improve the outcome. i have not adjusted for slippage/commissions.