How low can natural gas go?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by buttermarket, Feb 10, 2020.

  1. maxinger

    maxinger

    NG day range has been excellent.
    But for today, it will most likely be inside day
     
    Last edited: Feb 17, 2021
    #21     Feb 17, 2021
  2. easymon1

    easymon1

    good lookin' out.
     
    #22     Feb 17, 2021
  3. easymon1

    easymon1


    The 5m chart is making for some nice setups.
    https://elitetrader.com/et/threads/...at-right-here-baby.343012/page-7#post-5327975
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2021
    #23     Feb 19, 2021
  4. easymon1

    easymon1

     
    #24     Feb 23, 2021
  5. treeman

    treeman

    Low risk long entry. Price at strong support level. Looking to buy above 2617. Most likely ~month hold.
     
    #25     Mar 13, 2021
  6. easymon1

    easymon1

    May contract?
     
    #26     Mar 13, 2021
  7. treeman

    treeman

    Whatever the forward contract is. I’ll look into it tomorrow evening. NG is in contango, so I’m not trying to pay for the roll. I really don’t hold out much hope for NG as a hold. Maybe. But right now it looks to me like it hits this trend line, spikes over 20ish trading days, and then falls back to the trendline (good 35%+ spikes). Will that continue? I don’t know. But it won’t cost me much to find out. It just shook everyone out who went long 2 days ago playing that game. It also has a shot at fulfilling a cup and handle (or triple top breakthrough) for a much larger gain. favorable r/r here as it won't cost anything to get into due to the tight stop. I'm not piggy. 25% daily ATR stop (which is declining). I love these setups.
     
    Last edited: Mar 13, 2021
    #27     Mar 13, 2021
  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    At this point in the season, NG should start to decay in price rapidly.
     
    #28     Mar 13, 2021
  9. maxinger

    maxinger

    NG day range has deteriorated since mid Feb 21.

    Now it is < 0.1 point and it is not that great for day trading.
     
    #29     Mar 14, 2021
  10. treeman

    treeman

    It’s toast. It didn’t even whimper up.

    as for seasonality, it exists. >70% of the time from now until the end of April, natural gas closes up.
     
    #30     Mar 15, 2021
    easymon1 likes this.