How high can the S&P go?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Romeo, Sep 17, 2003.

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  1. We will be heading lower, no doubt about it!

    :D
     
    #421     Nov 7, 2003
  2. Off topic index but perhaps relevant:
     
    #422     Nov 7, 2003
  3. Romeo

    Romeo

    all the calls I short end on a quarter ie 1000, 1025, 1050, 1075 ??

    liquidity!! These are the only ones that have liquidity. If you do another strike, you are at the mercy of the cboe spread of 80 cents. A nice, fair market they give you.

    Moral: Play the quarter strikes, where there are usually other players besides the corrupt cboe computer spread.
     
    #423     Nov 7, 2003
  4. Romeo

    Romeo

    I took a look, but with technical analysis, everyone sees something different. So what do you see here?

    I see an average hitting its moving average, is that right?
     
    #424     Nov 7, 2003
  5. Considered done with today's globex high of 9915 - target of 9938 missed by 23 points but since the call was made more than 2 months ago this error should tolerable :D (BTW on my updated chart the theorical top for this scale was 9918 we've done 9915 on Globex which is enough close to consider it done).

     
    #425     Nov 7, 2003
  6. yes.... that is a good point!


    ICe
    :cool:
     
    #426     Nov 7, 2003
  7. I agree Romey, everyone sees something different. This is a monthly DJIA using closing prices only.

    We have had a 50% Fib Retracement and subsequent bounce. Price has responded historically to both the 40 and 50 sma's. That's where we are now... right at the 50. And the MACD is close to going just below the zero line.

    I don't use Fib, but so many do that it is worth taking a look at. I do use MA's and MACD, altho I prefer the 40 to the 50. Actually on the monthly the 20 is a good one too, and we are well above that.

    Overall, the picture looks bullish to me, although I am markedly aware that we are at inflection points on both the 50 and MACD. Back off and the drop could be nasty, crossover, and the rally could be sensational. So that probably means we will have some interesting day-to-day battles and meander along the ma's.
     
    #427     Nov 7, 2003
  8. Romeo

    Romeo

    I'm surprised you feel bullish, Inandlong. Every time I start feeling mildly bullish, I know a top is forming (I 'm a great contrary indicator). Maybe you want to re-think that bullish stance. I see downside ahead, and that means that "1050 or thereabouts" is still a winner!
     
    #428     Nov 8, 2003
  9. Yeah that's why I don't trade my feelings or thoughts. The market doesn't care what I "think", so neither do I. I try and let it tell me what to do. It crosses up, I'm a buyer, down... I'm a seller. It takes out a high, I'm a buyer, a low, I'm a seller. Simple signals for a simple mind.

    The keys for me are time frame and size.
     
    #429     Nov 8, 2003
  10. Romeo

    Romeo

    that's exactly the way I feel, except for the "it crosses up" part. I'm rarely a buyer.

    So according to this, at what point does the S&P need to cross for you to be a seller? Just a simple number is what I ask.
     
    #430     Nov 8, 2003
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