LTCM lost 4.6 billion but over 4 months according to wikipedia. Nick Leeson lost 1.4 billion at Barings Bank. So a $5 billion blowup in 5 days has to be the biggest and fastest blowup of all time. Or am I wrong?
hey all i was just watching bloomberg tv. the reporter was interviewing a professor from boston university and asked him what is the risk to the buyer of amaranth's energy portfolio. the professor replied: "well, i like to look at risk simply. nat gas can go to 0, so that's about $5. but just a few months ago nat gas was at $15. so the upside is better than the downside."
i wonder who will be taking the otherside of the trade when they unwind their natural gas positions. this may be the short term bottom for natural gas....
It's like this First all the hedge funds robbed the public blind by kiting the energy complex beyond all reason. Then the tables were turned. It's a nasty business, aint it.
I'ts a lot easier to lose money due to the very thing that is supposed to keep you from losing money. I'll let you guess what it is.
FWIW, Citadel will make a billion off this deal, minimum. They have the capital to ride out the shots the funds may take. WTF would attempt to run stops at $5.00 against Citadel? Time to buy NatGas. I think it's going to be an abnormally cold Winter.