How do you determine what your edge is?

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by runningman, Aug 25, 2009.

  1. What do you think about using average trade divided by standard deviation of returns?
     
    #21     Sep 16, 2009
  2. You mean average return over SD. I can see you have both reward and risk factored in, like CAR/MDD. I think mine is more indicative or direct. CAR is best measure of reward; and MDD is very pertinent to futures trade, as 2% draw down in points of ES means blowing up.
     
    #22     Sep 16, 2009
  3. wmb

    wmb

    Is an edge a profit/loss number or a something that indicates your entry /exit of a trade?
     
    #23     Oct 9, 2009
  4. All of the above and then some.

    Edge is the probability of your trading system making more money than it loses.

    Once you have determined an edge you have to make sure your emotions don’t make it ineffective.
     
    #24     Oct 9, 2009
  5. I like this one. But it has a problem. Let us say you made just 0.001% on a 10M account with 0% drawdown. The value of the parameter is infinity. The guy that made 20% with 10% MDD looks inferior, but actually is not.
     
    #25     Oct 11, 2009