How Do We Nail the Bottom?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by netedge, Oct 19, 2008.

  1. netedge

    netedge

    It is a new closing low which some might call a double bottom but I go by the intraday low - especially considering the doji on the 10th. In this case I don't think today's close was that significant aside from the way it held above the trendline of the recent lows.

    I believe the interim direction will be determined by what happens tomorrow - particularly if we close above the trendline of the recent highs tomorrow at around 970.
     
    #71     Oct 22, 2008
  2. Exactly...most people still haven't accepted the fact that we could possibly be in a bear market, so they actually believe that these rallies are signs that it's all over and 'they got in at the bottom'.

    Think of all those suckers that bought into the close that day. You know what's going to happen if we pierce the lows very soon - all those bulls are going to sell out....or watch their accounts dwindle and hit the sell button.
     
    #72     Oct 22, 2008
  3. a phase of a bottom would look like this

    [bottom ] [jump up ] [back down ] [consolidation] [jump up ] [enter]


    just measuer where we are at on the bottom, sure doesn't happen in a day.
     
    #73     Oct 22, 2008
  4. Dow still 800 points above the Oct 10th lows. It's gonna take something really dire to break the support.
     
    #74     Oct 22, 2008
  5. You're joking, right???
     
    #75     Oct 22, 2008
  6. ammo

    ammo

    how about a global collapse in currencies, dire?
     
    #76     Oct 22, 2008
  7. Of course, but so many people here take the bait.
     
    #77     Oct 22, 2008
  8. #78     Oct 22, 2008
  9. ====================
    Exactly,cool.
    And neat thing about a bear market;
    lower lows[ repeat lower lows] ,lower highs,lower closes...........................

    Bottoms may be called every day;
    but bear trends tend to persist, not as long as bull trends,
    but both usually go more than exspected.

    Dont see any reason not to retest /exceed 10 year lows;
    not a prediction, nor calling that the bottom.

    :cool: Cool
     
    #79     Oct 22, 2008
  10. netedge

    netedge

     
    #80     Oct 22, 2008