HI all, I am trying to estimate the prospects of AMAZON in the 4Q. Could anybody give me some advice/suggestions about what proxy variables I should look at in order to estimate the sales and gross margin of AMAZON for the 4Q and for the midterm and long term future? I am thinking of consumer confidence and consumer spending reports. Are these good indicator variables? Where do I find Internet usage reports? And how do I estimate the growth of the whole e-commerce business? And another problem is that I didn't find the consumer confidence for Sept. Are they available yet? Yet another problem is that these numbers are not forward looking... where to find forward looking numbers for 4Q? Moreover, I looked at the consumer confidence for July and August, the index was actually rising... but the consumer sales/retail was falling... maybe I was not getting a reliable data time series? Please give me some advice/suggestions... if anybody is interested in such time series analysis, we could definitely discuss ... Thanks!