How big and long does a track record account need to be in order to be taken seriously?

Discussion in 'Professional Trading' started by zbojnik, Sep 4, 2014.

  1. Al_Bundy

    Al_Bundy

    How about this guy, he doesn't have any track record at all ? http://wealthwithforex.com/andrew-mitchem/
    all he has is talk. Just by looking at his face and the prices he charges for his 'educational' services ($20k for a day ? Are you out of your f@cking mind ? ) I can tell this guy is a cheat. Yet, I'm kinda certain there are enough fools falling for his managed accounts pitch.
     
    #21     Sep 5, 2014
  2. Butterfly

    Butterfly

    You are being very optimistic, even with $100M AUM and a 10 yr history of strong performance, it's very unlikely you will find interested parties in Family Office, Pension Funds or even HNW individuals.

    The Fund Sponsor industry is much more complex than simply looking at performance numbers and audited accounts. I know a few "Fund managers" with $200 AUM and spectacular performance and it's very hard for them to raise money. It's all about marketing and who you know. Even with good numbers, the Fund Sponsors will look at other risk criteria (strategy logic, deviance from Benchmark etc...) and turn you down. You will need special "agents" to promote your fund, and they can be very expensive, taking half of your fees and sometimes more.

    Just my 2c from experience,
     
    #22     Sep 5, 2014
  3. Epic

    Epic

    I think your experience mainly applies to the highly saturated spaces. Sure, if you go out there selling a long/short equity fund, you are gonna have difficulties. Tons of competition in that space. Difficult to stand out. Regardless of performance and size, there must be a differentiating factor.

    You are correct that before making an allocation they are going to examine all aspects of the strategy including risk measures. I never said it would be easy to raise money at those levels. I just said he would be taken seriously. Being taken seriously gets you in the door and in front of the right people. High level performance, strategy basics, and infrastructure are covered during that first meeting. You know that you're seriously considered when they initiate due diligence follow-up. The big allocators have a team for this. At the smaller FOs the managers do it themselves or hire a third party.

    At that point you've got to have standout numbers. It used to be that low equity correlation and decent performance was good enough. Not anymore. To have the best shot, you really need;
    • near zero correlation to all other asset classes
    • unique analysis and trade selection processes
    • low downside vol
    • fast recovery periods
    • annualized returns at least double the max drawdown
    • around 20% annualized returns
    • low margin usage
    Even better if you have an uncommon strategy in a liquid niche market and you can explain the technicalities in a very concise and impressive manner.

    Hiring agents and marketers is common, but I've never seen one that takes 1/2 the fees. Industry standard is 20% of both management and incentive fees. Some charge a retainer, but that is less common. I once had a group try to pitch me on a 40% fee split because they thought I was new and would go for it. They backed off quick when I laughed.
     
    #23     Sep 5, 2014
  4. Epic

    Epic

    How do you know he doesn't have a track record? Did you request it in an email. By and large, managed accounts cannot post performance on public websites, but he claims to have it available for anyone who requests it.

    Anyway, without the performance and infrastructure, he might land a few low end HNWs who otherwise would be trying to trade their own accounts. He's not gonna close many deals with legit allocators. That's why he offers educational services. Those services are targeted at the $200K to $1MM net worth crowd. That wouldn't be worth his time if he were managing a decent book for legit clients.
     
    #24     Sep 5, 2014
    Al_Bundy likes this.
  5. Al_Bundy

    Al_Bundy

    I didn't ask, but know someone who did. She received a .jpeg with a few profitable trades closed. Couldn't even make out if the account was trading real money. :))
     
    #25     Sep 5, 2014
  6. I am sorry I was unable to communicate to you with sufficient detail. What I said may have appeared to be a loan as you read it.

    the gist of people offering money to be traded is simply in the domain of how people with money strive to put it to work. They generally have limited expectations and they see a range of traders who have various performance levels. The basic negotiation between the two parties is to reach a mutual level that involves the variables I mentioned. Personally, I would never expect the capital provider to ever consider losing control of his capital at any time.

    I'm glad you brought up some of the protections offered by NFA, etc. Thank you.

    My orientation was to just point out how people with capital as a commodity go about connecting to traders who are willing to trade OPM. The FI sets performance rates as low as possible; therefore any other traders can take advantage of this poor level of performance as compared to the actual full offer of the market.

    since some of you do research on names and places and activity, you could find at least a dozen names of traders I have mentioned who do lay off capital to other traders. By researching these guys, you can see the range of variations on how they have negotiated such relationships.
     
    Last edited: Sep 5, 2014
    #26     Sep 5, 2014
  7. Epic

    Epic

    What you're describing is not at all compliant with the regs. He'd better not invite too much exposure.
     
    #27     Sep 5, 2014
    Al_Bundy likes this.
  8. Al_Bundy

    Al_Bundy

    I like Salem Abraham, he's very transparent. There doesn't seem to be a law against posting performance - although with how crazy the regulators in the US are, one never knows.
     
    #28     Sep 5, 2014
  9. Sergio77

    Sergio77

    To be taken seriously by institutions you must trade > 50M and have 5 years of record.
     
    #29     Sep 6, 2014
  10. This belief is very important. It is the main negotiating advantage that traders have. A trader uses these performance characteristics to gain negotiating advantage. The low performance of other trading organizations with 50M AUM and five years of existence has become a FI "standard". Traders have performance which is compared to the market's offer instead..

    The amount of ROI on the table for negotiating is the difference between the low performance and the market's offer.

    Allocators spread most money around at this low performance level.

    Here is an example from Greenwich, Conn.

    I wanted to trade stocks. The Fairfield County Bank and Trust Co. said "okay" we will put the stock in street name and you can trade it. Keep the stock at 100% of your debt and pay interest only.

    I concluded the deal in 24 months by converting the stock to cash and FCB&T took out the principal and wrote me a check for the residue. The check was larger than the principal.

    To trade for an allocator is not difficult. The allocator is like the bank. He wants interest or something equivalent. He expects to get the going rate. Fill in the rate and the payment schedule. The capital involved is just always available. In a trading account it is called BP. What is traded is the BP in an instrument from in a specific market. When the allocator wants his capital back he says so. He gets cash at that time and he has his rate payments along the way.

    Look at a market performance and the allocator's rate. Here, a person mentioned the value of 40%. He laughed at the value and broke the negotiations. A trader looks at 40% and compares it to the market's performance and his operating effectiveness and efficiency.

    Go from the opening entry to the place where a portion of 40% occurs. In ES about 20 points doubles capital. Therefore, 2 points would be about 10% of the way.

    The allocator is looking for 40% a year payable in quarterly installments probably. After the open the market creates an ATR. The trader is going to trade a multiple of the ATR as RTH unfolds.

    As days pass (once every 90 days) the payments are made. The allocator can end the arrangement any time. To do so he closes the account, keeps the initial capital, makes sure the payment rate is met and then he writes a check to the trader as the trader's residue.

    As the trader in the deal, my preference is to allow the allocator's profits to be put in play whereby he gets the rate on the profits as well. I do not ever want to pull my earnings since I do better by letting them ride.

    Traders who are growing their operations, do not have to do much additional work as they grow. It is a parallel growth process. As is known, an MAT operation has one lead account and all other accounts are slaves attached electronically. The partial fills in each account ripple down whereby the fills come from the order book limit orders facing the market orders of the MAT accounts. The prints I post occasionally are only for the "master account" and do not include the slave account fills.

    One of the facets of my trading is to track when I get to the annual ROI of the mystical 2 and 20 of the FI. 2 and 20 is what corps in the FI want to make in a year. the rest is what they give clients. I deal to give clients what they want and I can keep the rest. Instead of keeping anything, I just let the clients have it so they can better solve local problems.
     
    Last edited: Sep 6, 2014
    #30     Sep 6, 2014