housing crash

Discussion in 'Economics' started by silk, Dec 30, 2004.

  1. =======
    Shorting a strong stock/sector in a bull market maybe an ego unprofitable thing;
    agree generaly its not part a good business plan.:cool:

    Different deal on short a weak stock/historicaly weak sector:cool: ;
    especially when its spent much time below major moving averages.
    =========

    Like the difference between unsecured debt;
    and reasonable debt secured by certified appraised real estate.

    And another concrete example,RaTboy88, you may negotiate 90% off unsecured hospital debt;
    far more likely likey you could get 90% off a real estate ask price.

    :)
     
    #271     Feb 3, 2005
  2. first signs of the bubble in florida.
    builder "close outs" and ads like these popping up..

    $785000 - Gorgeous Direct Ocean View Desperate Must Sell before Closing (Hallandale - Miami)
     
    #272     Feb 3, 2005

  3. yes, the rates are low. But even at the current low rates, the mortgages + condo fee is still at least $2300 /month, which cannot be covered by rents, as the rents on 2 bed/2 bath is only 1200-1600 /month in some of the nicest area.

    I know someone who bought a condo. He said he had to wait for 6 hours in a queue as there were so many buyers.
     
    #274     Feb 3, 2005
  4. I live on Long Island and have nothing to worry about.
    Playground for rich man
    :D
     
    #275     Feb 3, 2005
  5. sle

    sle

    How did you get 1.67%? Even if you take continuous compounding, the appreciation is R=ln(66)/(2004-1890) = 3.67% (or something like it, don't have my calculator with me).
     
    #276     Feb 3, 2005

  6. Long Island sucks. Strip malls and traffic jams as far as the eye can see.
    Also, I hate to burst your bubble "rich man" but as far as suburbs of New York go, outside of the Hamptons most of Long Island is a dump compared to Bergen and Westchester Counties.
     
    #277     Feb 3, 2005


  7. How did you get 1.67%? Even if you take continuous compounding, the appreciation is R=ln(66)/(2004-1890) = 3.67% (or something like it, don't have my calculator with me).
    [/QUOTE]

    PV = (-1)
    FV = 6.6
    n = 114
    therefore i = 1.67 (%)

    its not linear anyway, so im not sure it matters anyway.
     
    #278     Feb 3, 2005
  8. yeah then we get these rich men in FL driving two lanes at the time
    :)
     
    #279     Feb 3, 2005

  9. nassau and sufflok northshores are nice.
     
    #280     Feb 3, 2005