don't trim to fit the narrative: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/georgia/
There's so much that's come out against Walker recently I think he will lose. At the end of the day people will be like, do I really want this idiot to be my senator? Even Alabama voted for a Democrat when the opposite choice was Roy Moore. There might be a 10+ point gap between Kemp and Walker on Election Day. The Republicans have a weak ass field: States they're trying to take: GA- Walker (the worst candidate of them all, in my opinion the dumbest candidate in my lifetime, sadly for the Republicans in the easiest state to flip) AZ- Masters (likely the nominee, far-right, very extreme for an AZ that has become a swing state, another bad candidate in a winnable seat-though Mark Kelly has an advantage of being an astronaut-though that didn't help uninspiring Bill Nelson much in FL back in 2018) NV- Laxalt (seems to be a better candidate than the previous two, but NV is bluer, abortion might make this tougher to flip) NH-Don't know yet (but this is less of a swing state than the others, hasn't voted Republican in the General since 2000 and they don't like religion shoved up their asses so they better not nominate a pro-lifer if they want a chance) CO-State has been trending bluer and bluer, like VA it's probably more of a wave election state in play than a true swing state at this point (GOP has a decent moderate candidate, but it's tougher to run against an incumbent) States they're trying to hold: PA- Oz is an awful candidate. He's a carpetbagger from NJ and has spent his recent years selling snake oil on his TV show. Not to mention, he's Muslim which will cause some of Trump's base not to vote for him. Fetterman is a actually a really good candidate. Despite leaning further to the left than most the constituents, he doesn't come across as a liberal elitist, but rather a blue-collar kind of guy. This will allow him to pick up some Trump voters. He's articulate and authentic (similar to Sherrod Brown in OH). I think he's a better matchup to juxtapose against Oz and call out his carpetbagging/snake oil than the more moderate Lamb (who looks/acts like your standard cookie cutter politician) would have been. Sometimes personality can make up for differences in ideology as swing voters often vote for who'd they rather have a beer with. OH- Vance is a bad far-right candidate. In a more normal year he might be getting more attention for this, but with Walker in the race, everybody else starts to look like Winston Churchill in comparison. OH is leaning more and more red though. Tim Ryan is a pretty moderate Democrat trying to project himself as the blue-collar candidate, but I don't think voters are buying it nor do they see him as authentic as Sherrod Brown. This race is probably Vance's to lose so we shall see if he does that. WI- Ron Johnson is hated. He's by far the most vulnerable Republican up for re-election. He's way too far to the right/up Trump's ass for the state. The state is very much a toss up in the General. The question is, is he hated enough in an off year election when Biden's approval ratings are in the tank? I don't know how good the Democratic candidate is, but it will probably comes down to who do the voters hate more, Biden or Johnson? I don't really think FL or NC are in play. FL is trending more and more red plus Rubio isn't out of the mainstream/despised like many other politicians are. Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott trigger 1000x more anger from the other side than Rubio. I would be shocked if he lost. Budd looks to be an alright candidate from NC in a year where Biden has approval ratings in the tank and the state already leans red. He's definitely further to the right than the state overall and kisses Trump's ass a bit, but if we're being honest, he's basically your standard generic Republican at this point.
Note the information at the link was "Updated six hours ago" according to the banner at the top. The graph has Walker favored to win 55 to 45 over Warnock in the Georgia Senate election. This is the latest data from 538. Of course, everything can change moving forward.
Do you still consider a person who was going to murder somebody until he saw a “honk if you love Jesus” sticker to be highly intelligent and qualified to be a U.S. Senator?
Maybe the GOP should not selected the mentally incompetent and insane as their Senate candidate. Republicans fret as Walker stumbles in Georgia: ‘He needs help’ https://thehill.com/homenews/campai...-as-walker-stumbles-in-georgia-he-needs-help/
The best help he could receive is a brain transplant. He says he's going to debate Warnock now. I'm highly skeptical that will happen. Warnock isn't a perfect candidate. His ex-wife has made some pretty serious allegations against him. However, if you compare the two side by side, it's night and day. I'm not even sure this guy could pass a literacy test. I want to see what his Wonderlic score was, but I can't find it.
This result is from a model. It's not a poll. If the Democrats are smart they'll see that this model gets lots of play. Warnock is so far ahead of Walker that there is a danger of folks not bothering to vote. To get independents to the poles, they need to be a little concerned that the nitwit might win . Because of gerrymandering, it will take a minor miracle for the Democrats to hang on to their majority in the House. If they somehow pull that off, plus two seats are gained in the Senate, they'd have a clear path to enact much of their legislation. The Senate would become a functioning body of government once again. With the Court's destruction of Roe, there seems a slightly better chance of the Democrats holding onto to the House, despite heavy gerrymandering. There are a lot of pissed off women in the country right now. I don't think it is something they will quickly forget about.
GOP Senate candidate Herschel Walker promises to bring the economy down https://boingboing.net/2022/08/15/g...alker-promises-to-bring-the-economy-down.html