what a boring answer - why even post in this thread if your have such a defeated attitude? I made a call so we will see what happens - it will be right or wrong - nothing more and nothing less. You did know there are articles and posts all over the place making predictions for 2012 - that is part of the fun of January.
More's the point, though, that call has no basis and is only your opinion. If there was analysis and an actual reason given beyond what you've stated, then there could be a basis, but the second you start with it make sure it is something relevant to the Macroeconomy.