Heads up - FB earnings, Wednesday Nov 04. TSLA and PCLN also on deck.

Discussion in 'Options' started by OTM-Options, Oct 30, 2015.

  1. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    Predicting due to a reaction based on your educated research, its all the same shit to me, and I would not waste a single breath arguing over its semantics.
     
    Last edited: Oct 31, 2015
    #11     Oct 31, 2015
  2. Redneck

    Redneck

    LOL


    Rock On!!!!

    RN
     
    #12     Oct 31, 2015
    lawrence-lugar likes this.
  3. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    I know you are a fairly competent trader, which is why your disbelief only enhances my confidence.

    Good trading :)
     
    #13     Oct 31, 2015
  4. Redneck

    Redneck

    My disbelief in what



    Good


    RN
     
    #14     Oct 31, 2015
  5. Redneck

    Redneck


    Come on AD..., don't let me down


    Disbeliefs are as limiting..., as are beliefs - they deserve to be identified / acknowledged / resolved


    Thx
    RN
     
    #15     Nov 1, 2015
  6. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    A few days ago you said the following:

    "it is my expert opinion: that I thoroughly suck at predicting what is going to happen

    Because I do

    For a trader to try and know the unknowable - is a fool's errand - again - in my expert opinion (been there..., done that..., did not get a T-shirt)"

    In my opinion, and judging from the fact that I have multiple hall of fame threads via different handles and solid performance of over 15 years, I consider it too one with expertise...

    It is quite possible to predict market direction with extreme positive expectancy without the need to wait for X actions to react.

    That is the disbelief I referred to.

    Good trading to you and for what it is worth, I consider you are one of few good guys here.
     
    #16     Nov 1, 2015
  7. Redneck

    Redneck

    As I do you.., which is why I wanted your feedback

    ===========================


    I'll be the first to admit - I talk out of both sides on my mouth on this one


    I get inside the mind of the mkt
    I hunt elephants / whales
    I read the mkt like a dime novel

    Which with little extrapolation..., equates to - so you can predict it

    ============

    In the next breath I say - it foolish to try and predict


    ===================

    All I can say is:

    Predicting is a completely insignificant part/ aspect of my trading

    I completely embrace uncertainty

    I am solely focused on a process when trading (akin to catching / hitting / throwing a ball..., riding a bike)

    I do talk out of both sides of my mouth

    I can easily make a case for FB doing up..., or down next week

    There is much turmoil in the making..., for FB next week




    upload_2015-11-1_16-38-19.png



    Thanks AD - your insight is always appreciated Sir

    RN
     
    #17     Nov 1, 2015
    PABuster likes this.
  8. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    RN,

    Couple of bigger charts to accompany your 4hr, so far, sellers are playing the weekly return-line.

    There's also a wedge on the daily that could also be in play until earnings, past earnings, most technicals are out the window (gamble).

    Good trading.
     
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    #18     Nov 1, 2015
    PABuster likes this.
  9. Redneck

    Redneck


    You as well.., should be a fun week

    RN
     
    #19     Nov 2, 2015
  10. Short 101.60 st 101.90
     
    #20     Nov 2, 2015