Greater Commodity Cycles

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Spectre2007, Jun 8, 2008.

  1. trends reaffirming themselves...signals reaffirming ...
     
    #21     Jun 29, 2008
  2. yeah
     
    #22     Jun 29, 2008
  3. yes...

    I have complex hedge going on between bonds, forex, equities, commodities, I maintain a long term position and hedge for intermediate term moves.

    there is always a hope with a new Presidency... the rally can be huge..then as policies are implemented, remember most Presidents institute policies to get reelected.
     
    #23     Jun 29, 2008
  4. What is your exit plan? You seem to sell while the trend is still strongly upward. For example silver and gold...why exit now? Or am I reading your chart wrong.
     
    #24     Jun 29, 2008
  5. exit plan MA crossover exits. Not till then. The software marks to market on last sessions data.

    A triple MA system takes a series of relatively small losses during chopp multi month year periods... and lets trends run till MA signal exits.
     
    #25     Jun 29, 2008
  6. Heres what a large trend can do...

    <a href="http://content.screencast.com/media/68e93009-6277-463e-b5c8-2a64180887d4_af258a57-ae15-4d9b-aa17-719f3d118ede_static_0_0_06292008-192052.jpg"><img src="http://content.screencast.com/media/68e93009-6277-463e-b5c8-2a64180887d4_af258a57-ae15-4d9b-aa17-719f3d118ede_static_0_0_06292008-192052.jpg" width="1546" height="732" border="0" /></a>
     
    #26     Jun 29, 2008
  7. notice how the stop was hit as the system tried to enter long...

    <a href="http://content.screencast.com/media/e4d5f579-51eb-4c3c-bf8e-f3138882e1e7_af258a57-ae15-4d9b-aa17-719f3d118ede_static_0_0_06292008-192402.jpg"><img src="http://content.screencast.com/media/e4d5f579-51eb-4c3c-bf8e-f3138882e1e7_af258a57-ae15-4d9b-aa17-719f3d118ede_static_0_0_06292008-192402.jpg" width="1547" height="749" border="0" /></a>
     
    #27     Jun 29, 2008
  8. the system reentered the trade the next day, was able to ride it higher...

    <a href="http://content.screencast.com/media/193b7271-d387-40a0-be16-c6c4805b9206_af258a57-ae15-4d9b-aa17-719f3d118ede_static_0_0_06292008-192615.jpg"><img src="http://content.screencast.com/media/193b7271-d387-40a0-be16-c6c4805b9206_af258a57-ae15-4d9b-aa17-719f3d118ede_static_0_0_06292008-192615.jpg" width="1550" height="752" border="0" /></a>
     
    #28     Jun 29, 2008
  9. Spec, I am trying to figure out your scale on the right hand side in natty. It appears to be price, however, all time peak price in natty was 15.70-something, and had fallen to as low as 4.08 or so afterward. Something funky looking on your price scale.
     
    #29     Jun 29, 2008
  10. ammo

    ammo

    thnks for the posts spec,nice trades, u make it look easy
     
    #30     Jun 29, 2008