I began scaling in short March Wheat today. I have started with a very small position and am looking to add at higher levels. Much the same as I did with the S and P earlier this past spring.
I made my decision today and closed the July Bean Long trade today MOC at 6.87 3/4. I did not short. I will watch the market for a new place to get long.
No. I am just watching the daily and weekly reaction highs here. I will not be afraid to let the trade go negative as long as we don't break those highs.
WASDE came out today (and every month about this time). HUGELY bullish for Corn with a lot of drag-along effect. Wheat is something of a mystery, their fundamentals are looking pretty bearish (quite a bit more ending stocks than expected). I'm guessing the runup there is Corn drag-along.
Here's a good way to get in if you're stuck out of limit up: DBA etf. 25% corn, 25% wheat, 25% soy, and 25% sugar futures... likely the fund is unleveraged, so prepare to buy a lot if you like leverage.