Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Discussion in 'Trading' started by makloda, Jan 27, 2007.

  1. S2007S

    S2007S



    The difference is that he looks like more of a fool since he is in front of millions of viewers ...me on the other hand, well it's only a hundred or so people.......he is the bigger fool
     
    #9891     Sep 8, 2015
  2. S2007S

    S2007S

    Here is another great prediction.....they just keep coming in...this one is even more of a joke because she is literally comparing today's market to 1998, hahaha, talk about complete foolishness, as I said many times this market cannot be compared to any market in past history..this market is nothing but a Fed and central bank controlled market...least in the 1990s we were just breaking ground on the newest technology the world had ever seen, "the internet".....today we have QE and worldwide stimulus from every central bank around the world...

    Market looks a lot like 1998: Wells Fargo
    Amanda Diaz | @CNBCDiaz
    5 Hours Ago

    The recent spurt in volatility has many market participants drawing comparisons to prior crashes. Now, one former bear claims the market is giving her déjà vu to the late 1990s, and that could mean higher stock prices ahead.

    "In terms of the late '90s, there are certainly some echoes and interesting comparisons that we're following," Wells Fargo's institutional equity strategist, Gina Martin Adams, told CNBC's "Futures Now" on Tuesday.

    In 1998 the S&P 500 fell more than 15 percent from July to October before resuming its advance and finishing the year with more than 20 percent returns. "We cannot help but note the similarities to the 1998 emerging market financial crisis, and note that it took Fed action to calm the market then," said Martin Adams. A highly anticipated Fed meeting kicks off next week as investors anxiously wait to see if Janet Yellen will hike interest rates.

    For Martin Adams, when it comes to the market, the two most important similarities between the current environment and 1998 are the swift decline in crude oilcoupled with a sharp rise in the dollar, and the common sector leaders.

    "Right before the 1998 crisis in stocks and the broader financial market, we did have a 60 percent decline in oil prices and a roughly 30 percent rise in the dollar. That's about where we are now." In the last 12 months WTI crude oil prices have fallen more than 50 percent while the U.S. dollar index has risen 14 percent in the same period.

    Read MoreLeon Cooperman: Why this bull market isn't over

    "It's no wonder why the S&P 500 is going through a pretty significant correction in response to the massive destruction in the currency and commodity markets," she continued. "This is a commodity led crisis."

    Martin Adams also noted the similarities in certain sector performance between now and 1998.

    "In the 1998 experience, the energy sector was the leading indicator of weakness for the broader market and right before the market peaked sectors like health care and consumer discretionary were strong leaders."

    Those three patterns hold true in 2015, as the energy space has fallen 19 percent on the year, making it the worst performer, while the health-care and consumer discretionary sectors are the only two still positive, up a respective 4 and 2 percent.

    Read MoreGabelli: Looking at years, not weeks

    It's those sectors that Martin Adams believes will eventually lead the market higher. "In the 1990s the sectors that lead out of the market correction were the same sectors that showed leadership into the market correction," she said. This time around, Martin Adams believes health care and consumer discretionary will again lead stocks higher. "We're sticking with the winners and not rotating into some of the more beaten-down names just yet."

    Martin Adams, who was once dubbed the "biggest bear" on Wall Street before changing her tune last September, has a target on the S&P 500 of 2,200 over the next 12 months.
     
    #9892     Sep 8, 2015
  3. i960

    i960

    ES sell target reached and filled: 1931.75 -> 1979 for a 47.25pt swing.
     
    #9893     Sep 8, 2015
    Visaria and romik like this.
  4. You know the drill people, stock index futures rise overnight 90% of the time, it's a fact.
     
    #9894     Sep 8, 2015
  5. Yes the stock index futures are rising on no volume, gap up on cash open sideways for 6 hours. Wash rince repeat.
     
    #9895     Sep 8, 2015
  6. Volume in SPY today was the lowest in the past 15 trading sessions.
     
    #9896     Sep 8, 2015
  7. Stock gap open the churn all day long on no volume. End of Q3 contract roll over and fed meeting next week. Market is always up for that dog and pony show.
     
    #9897     Sep 8, 2015
    i960 likes this.
  8. i960

    i960

    Turns out there's some truth to what Rickshaw has been saying:

     
    #9898     Sep 8, 2015
    FCXoptions likes this.
  9. hajimow

    hajimow

    Today's trades:
    FIT trade was at 4AM and closed a small position that I opened last Friday at $31.80.
    ADI is naked. GLD is cash covered. MCD is naked. Trades.JPG
     
    #9899     Sep 8, 2015
  10. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    I thought you were long ADI.
     
    #9900     Sep 9, 2015