Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Discussion in 'Trading' started by makloda, Jan 27, 2007.

  1. Max E.

    Max E.

    Yeah i was caught off guard by this too, didnt think itd be so strong.

    Congrats on the big week btw nice to hear someone killed it this week, cause it sure as hell wasnt me, lol.

     
    #9021     Aug 21, 2015
  2. i960

    i960

    #9022     Aug 21, 2015
    Ditch likes this.
  3. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    [​IMG] time for obligatory trader pics...

    [​IMG]
     
    #9023     Aug 21, 2015
    Max E. and i960 like this.
  4. Max E.

    Max E.

    I think thats Rickshawman in the second Photo. :D

    [

    QUOTE="Tsing Tao, post: 4166914, member: 137314"][​IMG] time for obligatory trader pics...

    [​IMG][/QUOTE]
     
    #9024     Aug 21, 2015
  5. i960

    i960

    I don't get why Rickshaw is so quiet right now when he says he knows how this game works. Surely he can recognize when the rodeo gets closed down for a week and it might not be time to go long?
     
    #9025     Aug 21, 2015
  6. S2007S

    S2007S

    #9026     Aug 21, 2015
  7. S2007S

    S2007S

    And here comes all the articles to put a positive spin and give you hope that the bottom is nearby .....

    Are we at a bottom? Two sentiment indicators are at extremes
    Bob Pisani | @BobPisani
    2 Hours Ago


    Where is the market bottom? I have no idea, but there are a couple wacky readings among two popular indicators that indicate fear is at a fairly extreme level.

    First, I've said many times that I don't pay much attention to the CBOE Volatility Index until it gets over 20.

    It's over 20.

    But more importantly, it has jumped over 20 fast. Really fast. It was 13 on Tuesday. It hit 24 today.

    When the VIX moves from 13 to 24 in a week, you are forcing traders to reposition their portfolios. They have been assuming a certain amount of volatility, but when it goes through the roof in a few days they now have to assume that stocks will be trading outside of ranges they had taken for granted a few days ago.

    "The fear is that could give back 18 months of gains in five days," one options trader told me this morning.

    The options pits at the NYSE MKT (formerly the AmEx) were as busy as I have seen them in a year. This is an options expiration day, and with the S&P 500 sitting right on the pivotal 2,000 level, there was a lot of activity on either side of that level.

    The VIX has been up more than 10 percent three days in a row, which is a rare occurrence.

    This is such an unusual move that we may be approaching some kind of at least-short bottom.

    According to our partners at Kensho, this has only happened twice in 21 years: In March 1994 and October 2014.


    That's not much data to go on, but the trend has been positive. One week after the event in March 1994, the S&P 500 was up 0.3 percent; one week after the event in October 2014, it was up 1.6 percent.

    One month after, the trends were also positive, with the S&P up in the month after March 1994 and 8.7 percent in the month after October 2014.

    At least the trend is positive on all four accounts.

    Another sign of extreme fear: the CBOE Equity Put/Call ratio hit 2.0 this morning, another very rare occurrence (it has since come off a bit). The ratio, which measure the number of puts versus calls on the CBOE, is usually below 1.0. A reading of 2.0 and above is extreme, a sign that investors are willing to buy protection at any price.

    [​IMG]
    Bob Pisani
    CNBC "On-Air Stocks" Editor
     
    #9027     Aug 21, 2015
  8. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    You need both pullback and breakout/down signals or else you miss avalanche type moves like today.
     
    #9028     Aug 21, 2015
  9. S2007S

    S2007S

    #9029     Aug 21, 2015
  10. S2007S

    S2007S

    From February 2015, Mr lee said he sees DOUBLE DIGIT STOCK GAINS!!!!

    Does he still see double digit stock gains today????




    I see double-digit stock gains in 2015: Tom Lee
    Matthew J. Belvedere | @Matt_Belvedere
    Monday, 23 Feb 2015 | 10:02 AM ETCNBC.com

    Investors don't seem to be overly optimistic about stocks, and that's a "very bullish" sign, longtime market bull Tom Lee told CNBC on Monday.
     
    #9030     Aug 21, 2015