Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Discussion in 'Trading' started by makloda, Jan 27, 2007.

  1. S2007S

    S2007S

    Ouch....
    Is this guy reading my posts, I have been calling for a drop of that magnitude....


    Marc Faber: Stocks are about to fall 40%—at least!
    Alex Rosenberg | @CNBCAlex
    3 Hours AgoCNBC.com




    After years of forecasting gloom and doom for stocks only to watch them surge, Marc Faber is sounding the alarm as loud as ever.

    Faber, editor of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, believes that stocks in the U.S. and in many places around the globe are in a central bank-fueled bubble. And while he can't put a time on when that perceived bubble will pop, he prognosticates that once it does, the outcome will be horrifying.

    "For the last two years, I've been thinking that U.S. stocks are due for a correction," Faber said Wednesday on CNBC's "Trading Nation." "But I always say a bubble is a bubble, and if there's no correction, the market will go up, and one day it will go down, big time."

    "The market is in a position where it's not just going to be a 10 percent correction. Maybe it first goes up a bit further, but when it comes, it will be 30 percent or 40 percent minimum!" Faber asserted.

    A 40 percent decline from Wednesday's close would take the S&P 500to 1,264, a level that hasn't been seen since the early days of 2012.

    Faber says low yields and stimulative central bank policies around the world have led to a condition in which "all assets are grossly overvalued … and eventually this will unwind and cause some problems."

    Despite his massively bearish call, Faber said he's "not short the market yet," since he doesn't know how high stocks could go in the interim. Still, he makes clear that "I'm not interested to buy momentum, I'm interested to buy value."

    Read MoreWhat record-high margin debt means for stocks

    Will the S&P 500 fall 40%?
    Yes!

    19%

    It could happen

    41%

    No way

    40%

    Total Votes: 9997
    Not a Scientific Survey. Results may not total 100% due to rounding.

    And recent market action could indicate that even the momentum has come to an end.

    "Look at the market since November of last year to now. The market is up 2 percent. It hasn't done much, and a lot of stocks are breaking down. I don't think that the market is in a healthy condition."

    Faber's calls have slowly become more dramatically bearish over time, as stocks have ticked higher. For instance, in November 2012, Faber predicted that "corporate profits are going to disappoint, the global economy will hardly grow next year or even contract, and that is the reason why stocks, from the highs of September [2012] of 1,470 on the S&P, will drop at least 20 percent."

    That call has proved less than prescient. But the target implied by that call—1,176—is not too far below his current implied target of 1,264.

    Of course, for market forecasters, accuracy is probably more important than consistency.
     
    #6051     Apr 30, 2015
  2. Did you really think they would let it fall that far....come on people...how many times have we seen this.
     
    #6052     Apr 30, 2015
  3. Just about have a green Dow after being down 140
     
    #6053     Apr 30, 2015
  4. WELL OFF THE LOWS CRYS CNBC...HAHAHA
     
    #6054     Apr 30, 2015
    mymajia likes this.
  5. mymajia

    mymajia

    call this a joke
     
    #6055     Apr 30, 2015
  6. S2007S

    S2007S

    Dow was down 140 now off about 40 points, notice how much push and pull there is on down days, but if the market were to open up and trade 140 points higher it would just float there for about 4 hours straight into the close....take notice of that the next time the dow is up triple digits which should be sometime tomorrow after the markets turn green today....

    no worries as each and every single dip is bought over and over and over again, it happened yesterday, and it happened again today....by tomorrow all losses will be erased for the week and everyone will be happy going to the hamptons tomorrow with even more cash in their pockets...
     
    #6056     Apr 30, 2015
  7. mymajia

    mymajia

    Maybe we just had a resersal during the day. I am trading the CFD for stock index.
     
    #6057     Apr 30, 2015
  8. S2007S

    S2007S



    Im not calling it a joke, we have witnessed a collapse before, back in 2009 when no one predicted it coming, this time the same holds true, no one is predicting anything and when that black swan comes from out of no where and everyone is running for the exits you will see the same fall in the markets, I don't know why this is so hard for people to understand....
     
    #6058     Apr 30, 2015
  9. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    I say if it is so obvious, keep buying each dip until it stops working.
     
    #6059     Apr 30, 2015
  10. mymajia

    mymajia

    It's been so hard for people to understand for years... Maybe other people are just to dumb and you are just too smart... I'm sorry. I just want to say forget your inference and let the market tell.
     
    Last edited: Apr 30, 2015
    #6060     Apr 30, 2015