Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Discussion in 'Trading' started by makloda, Jan 27, 2007.

  1. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    It is sure quiet without S2007S....(oh wait...that is my other login.)
     
    #5261     Mar 11, 2015
  2. hajimow

    hajimow

    watch out for a drop in IWM (Russel 2000 ETF). Today's price action will be interesting. Conservative play would be to buy PUT for April. For those who have guts would be to just short it.

    I also like shorting ADI. MCD shorting is paying off.
     
    #5262     Mar 11, 2015
  3. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    Which expiration and strike? I prefer RUT options.
     
    #5263     Mar 11, 2015
  4. hajimow

    hajimow

    I did not want to be very specific but April 15 expiration and the strike of 116 -117 would make sense. You can also sell 113-114 strike puts to reduce the cost.
     
    #5264     Mar 11, 2015
  5. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    Sounds like a plan. My commissions are lower on RUT because they are bigger contracts I think, but I will translate according and consider. (Also 40% LT cap gain.)
     
    #5265     Mar 11, 2015
  6. hajimow

    hajimow

    check out IWM top 10 holdings. Check their P/E and how they are overvalued. Most of them have negative earnings. P/E of 130 is very common !!
     
    #5266     Mar 11, 2015
  7. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    Is this worse than 2000?
     
    #5267     Mar 11, 2015
  8. jsp326

    jsp326

    Nope. Valuations (at least tech) were definitely worse then. However, stocks may be more overvalued across the board (large-cap, small-cap, etc.) now. That said, overvalued markets can rally longer than anyone expects.
     
    #5268     Mar 11, 2015
  9. hajimow

    hajimow

    Investors use 2000 as their benchmark. This perception is not correct. Based on that theory any valuation below 2000 is justified. If that were true, investing would be easy because we would know what could be the trigger point.
     
    #5269     Mar 11, 2015
  10. Visaria

    Visaria

    wouldn't agree...if you have tripled something, then you lose a third, you've only doubled it.

    triple over 6 years is about 20%pa, a double is only 12%pa
     
    #5270     Mar 11, 2015