I gotta say the next sell off will be one for the record books. It may come when the nasdaq is at 30k maybe 40k maybe even 100k but the sell off will be absolutely something no one has ever witnessed before. ...
I just did some simple math... The trajectory of my retirement portfolios can amass 6 figure yearly returns at the rate the s&p is trading at... Im finding this rally, a rally literally no one has ever witnessed before.
It def won't be as they buy every dip at every support. They are not going to allow this to fall much. You think they will pay out all those who have puts
I would say most are done fighting this move up...these markets could sink 5% in a single week.....doesn't matter if there are massive put holders or not ....
Dow already lost half its gains Could be red by opening. The dow is having a much harder time breaking out to new highs ....I thought by now it would have made its run but its falling short as the spy and nasdaq keep breaking new highs.
3rd article this week However none pf these predictions ever hold true....a 30%drop???? This would put eveeyone into a deep depression especially after unlimited gains the last 3 months!! in fact the opposite usually happens .... The S&P 500 Is Going to Plunge at Least 30%, Based on What a Forecasting Tool With a 100% Historical Success Rate Has to Say https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/sp-...ecasting-tool-100-historical-success-rate-has
You said that about the last 10 sell offs. Time to stop whining your forecasting track record is horrible.
Nasdaq 100 returns 1998: 85% 1999: 102% Then it went up another 25% or so in just the first 10 weeks of 2000. This rally is nothing in comparison. It feels really powerful because the recovery from the 20% drawdown this year was really quick. But it was just recovering lost ground. 2025 performance is really no big deal when you compare to previous years.