Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Discussion in 'Trading' started by makloda, Jan 27, 2007.

  1. Visaria

    Visaria

    Today's sell off is due to expectations of more European QE not being met
     
    #12711     Dec 3, 2015
  2. romik

    romik

    What is psychology of CBs? Let the only thing that suggests we are still OK fail or pump it into oblivion?
     
    #12712     Dec 3, 2015
  3. my guess is Draghi will hold off through Dec 16 and probably through Jan so that Fed is not hiking as Draghi is adding QE. Abe too may hold off through Dec and Jan to allow Fed to get this .25 hike over with. After the .25 (thats if its able to hike), Fed will hold off many months and Draghi/Abe will be able to do their QEs.

    So that implies a bit of a rocky (some dips) Europe and Japan stock market until about Feb.and then buying on the dip and higher highs in all three markets

    And I say this not because I think I could predict anything regarding markets but rather because, as many here have already said repeatedly, that if this scenario does not play out and if the Fed keeps hiking and/or Draghi/Abe stop QE then the market looks very dangerous as the CB juice is the main/only real driver
     
    Last edited: Dec 3, 2015
    #12713     Dec 3, 2015
  4. S2007S

    S2007S

    #12714     Dec 3, 2015
  5. 2yr note yield nearing 1%, everything is getting slammed as interest rates move higher.
     
    #12715     Dec 3, 2015
  6. Look at the futures markets prior to Draghi...full melt up mode, a truly Pavlovian response...

    CB's can't be so blind so as not to see that these markets literally do not function without "further instruction" from the round robin of CB's...Plus, with SP at 2100, Yellen goes "hawkish", lol...can't make this stuff up.
     
    #12716     Dec 3, 2015
  7. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    #12717     Dec 3, 2015
  8. i960

    i960

    ad_reply.png

    Then:
    es_20151120.png

    Now:
    es_20151203.png
     
    #12718     Dec 3, 2015
  9. Stewie

    Stewie

    Just so I'm clear on what you're saying... since AD states that in down trends, its easy to call double tops, and yet, he claims we are in an up trend, then why is the double top so apparent?

    The fact that there is a double top should point to a downtrend. Is this the correct logic you're trying to get across?

    I do hope AD comments. Of course, maybe its just a dip. :)
     
    #12719     Dec 3, 2015
  10. romik

    romik

    Talk is cheap.
     
    #12720     Dec 3, 2015