I don't reveal my methods but I'm extremely confident based on the overwhelming number of factors pointing higher in my studies.
So basically you've got no calls, no revealing of any methodology, plenty of shit talking, and a healthy heap of "it's going up and I told you so" dogma. Blah, blah, we can all make those same types of predictions man.
If you find it worthless, then I'm sorry to hear, but I think knowing main direction is a big part of the puzzle.
went long on bond futures, strong short term trend developing there, strengthened no doubt by the news of the russian warplane downed by the Turks...
I try to discipline myself regarding day trades but I am not always perfect. Russia seemed they wanted to help with the Paris event by policing Syria and was welcomed after all the tragedy. Why would Turkey take the other side at a time like this? France is also in NATO...will these two countries both see it the same way (doubtful). In fact France and Russia agree on many topics....Turkey looks alone in this incident. As far as markets are concerned, Europe and Russia seem on the same page here so any war notion may be limited toward Turkey and Turkey's motivation here which would seem to down play any real threat of a major flare-up. The US has been giving air cover to the Kurds as well and seems Turkey is also a problem there. Would Turkey shoot down a US jet if it crossed into Turkey while giving cover to Kurds (ground troops always cross boarders so the air cover must also cross while covering them). My guess is that ISIS was moving across back and forth from Syria into Turkey freely and Russian jets did not want to let this continue. Turkey will need to answer a lot of questions quickly
They didn't have to shoot it down, that is the main point here, as Russia isn't an aggressor to Turkey, even if the jet was in Turkish airspace.
I think the market is being quite resilient. DAX did not take it nicely. I will give it a week if there is some form of retaliation. Hopefully, the other pilot is ok.