EM currencies like the Brazilian real have bounced hard in the last 2 weeks, commodities have to move up because they are priced in dollars.
Its not out of touch, give it some time and you will see it unfold, for now the fed still controls the market with their worthless zero interest rate policies but only that will stand up so much further as the market will eventually dictate how long interest rates can stay at 0% by that time most of the markets will be in a global recession and the fed will do everything in its power to create more worthless trillions with more QE and Negative interest rates....
lol, yep...XLE slowly churned lower for 15 months or so and then wham, suddenly the herd shows up and panic buying ensues...
yep been watching energy skyrocket the last week, thats an INSANE MOVE, I was trading the move with GUSH but man did I sell too early....now trying to short that move up with DRIP and ERY!!!! Down pretty big on ERY....but will still hold on....doenst take much to see energy once gain fall apart....
So easy make free money in this central bank planned year end rally. So easy a cave man can do it haha...wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee free money $$$$$$$
Thats exactly why these markets are so difficult to time and enter into...do you know how many times I thought energy was at its low....it seems like they can't find any other place to make money so they rally energy for nearly 2 weeks...now I keep hearing about higher oil prices etc....etc..etc...
Yes, I agree with you...the problem is with all of the interference to prevent any asset deflation...slow steady distribution is met with such fierce rallies that this becomes a very skewed risk: reward since any intermediate rally/retracement can turn into another "v" bottom...2011 & 2014 are just too big of a risk and it appears that the "market" was merely churning lower to remove any chance of a rate increase...hence gaming the Fed Chair.
Now just imagine if the job numbers were -50,000 or -150,000 markets might have been up over 2000 points!