GOOG Oct strangle on the 18th, close the 19th.

Discussion in 'Options' started by forex-forex, Oct 15, 2007.


  1. I'll believe that. It's just that for some reason pinning is this new en vogue subject. I think it's due to Cramer, every month like clockwork, rattling off some arbitrary list of stocks and claiming that they all "have" to get pinned at whatever the nearest strike happens to be, without the necessary analysis.
     
    #61     Oct 19, 2007
  2. RL8093

    RL8093

    So what was the final tally (best case) for this trade? I took a quick look around 10:20 and got an estimated 85% haircut on the play (inc $70 commish). However, closing earlier would have gotten somewhat better return...

    Although a short strangle would have won this one, as we've seen before, that's an even riskier position. Either way, I struggle to differentiate between this type of play and randomness (coin-flipping, roulette, etc.).

    I think there was a thread a while back where someone posted that after researching thousands of earnings events, they had developed an edge and could demonstrate an ongoing profit.

    R
     
    #62     Oct 19, 2007
  3. Yeah, I should have waited until almost closing yesterday. I would have raised the IC by 10.
     
    #63     Oct 19, 2007
  4. Closed the 650 call for $0.95. SBUX earnings come soon, I am think of some Jan calls.
     
    #64     Oct 19, 2007
  5. u are kidding , right ?
     
    #65     Oct 19, 2007
  6. yea whats your love with sbux? don't waste your time trying to make lost $$$ on that stock. You'll just lose more. there's a whole list of much better stock with higher probability payoff.


    Buy some FCX or BA calls... much better value and upside.
     
    #66     Oct 19, 2007
  7. wow. the index broke the pin....

    pretty amazing here, isn't it?

    35 pts on the ES...
    wow
     
    #67     Oct 19, 2007
  8. \
    Whew, got out with 2 minutes to spare at $5. I held on and figured a lot of folks didn't want to hold into the weekend. It went down to $3.50 for a second, but I didn't pull the trigger fast enough.

    Paid for the new Espresso machine I just bought, plus a pound of coffee.
     
    #68     Oct 19, 2007
  9. wenzi

    wenzi

    forex^2,
    Plan your trades and trade your plan.

    Random guessing , hoping, and luck is not a trading plan.
     
    #69     Oct 20, 2007
  10. So, what was the final outcome of your long goog strangle?
    db
     
    #70     Oct 21, 2007