Good1's Brooks Breaker Swing Calls on ESZ

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Good1, Nov 26, 2023.

  1. Good1

    Good1

    Screenshot_20231129-155914.png
     
    #11     Nov 29, 2023
  2. Good1

    Good1

    Screenshot_20231201-230820.png
     
    #12     Dec 2, 2023
  3. Good1

    Good1

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    There's a new column to track the initial risk (iRisk%) as a percentage. This will come in handy for testing a uniform risk size for every trade. Normally the initial risks will vary. From that we will be able to calculate the average initial risk.

    My statistics suggest 6% max drawdown for this time frame with variable initial risk. Have used up half of that. Whatever it ends up being, we should arrive at a new high within 35 +/- trades.
     
    #13     Dec 4, 2023
  4. Good1

    Good1

    Screenshot_20231205-002536.png

    Adding a note :

    1)new position
    Or,
    2)moved stop
     
    #14     Dec 5, 2023
  5. Good1

    Good1

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    Last edited: Dec 5, 2023
    #15     Dec 5, 2023
  6. Good1

    Good1

    Screenshot_20231206-032748.png
     
    #16     Dec 6, 2023
    zghorner likes this.
  7. zghorner

    zghorner

    your calls have lost money 10 out of 11 trades?
     
    #17     Dec 6, 2023
  8. Good1

    Good1

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    #18     Dec 6, 2023
  9. Good1

    Good1

    Yes, 11 out of 12 now.

    This is continual trend following with a 44% win rate and an expected max drawdown of 6%. Current drawdown is 3.42%

    This method scored well in the several trades leading up to these calls so a drawdown typically follows.
     
    #19     Dec 6, 2023
    zghorner likes this.
  10. Good1

    Good1

    Screenshot_20231206-102626.png
    In the last 336 curated calls there was a stretch where there were 21 losses to only 4 wins (see the last drawdown). This is a re-curated set of data I showed in the Al Brooks thread. Slight improvement to 45% win rate.
     
    #20     Dec 6, 2023
    zghorner likes this.