Good news for Edwards, bad news for Hillary and Obama

Discussion in 'Politics' started by ZZZzzzzzzz, Jan 29, 2007.

  1. Poll: 60% Say Dems Likely to Nominate White Male

    rasmussenreports.comMon Jan 29, 10:58 AM ET

    In the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination, a woman is the clear frontrunner and an African-American is clearly in the number two position. Between them, they attract support from roughly half of all Democrats.

    However, despite the current support for Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama (news, bio, voting record), 60% of American voters believe that Democrats are likely to nominate a White Male for President in 2008. Just 27% say that's not likely to happen. Among Democrats, 73% say their party is likely to nominate a White Male. That figure includes 30% who consider the possibility Very Likely and 43% who say it's Somewhat Likely.

    There is no gender gap on this question, but 81% of black voters believe the Democrats will nominate a White Male. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of white voters agree. Earlier surveys had found that roughly eight-out-of-ten voters express a willingness to personally vote for either a woman or an African-American candidate. However, just over half believe their family, friends, and co-workers are willing to do the same.

    Overall, 80% say that the next President of the United States is likely to be a White Male. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Republicans hold this view along with 78% of Democrats. Among all voters, 46% say it's Very Likely that a White Male will be elected while 34% believe it's Somewhat Likely.

    By an 89% to 4% margin, voters expect Republicans to nominate a White Male candidate. Early polls had shown that an African-American woman, Condoleezza Rice, had considerable support among GOP voters. However, it appears unlikely that she will be entering the competition. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) consistently leads in polling for the Republican nomination while Arizona Senator John McCain (news, bio, voting record) (R) is close on his heels.

    In General Election match-ups, Rudy Giuliani leads all Democrats including Clinton, Edwards, Obama, Gore, Richardson, Vilsack, and Biden. See a summary of all the contenders and how they match-up, both Democrats and Republicans.

    This national telephone survey of 800 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports January 22-23, 2007. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

    Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.