Gold, Silver, and Indexes Using Price Action

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Gringo, Oct 4, 2013.

  1. Gringo

    Gringo

    Yes, gold is showing strength here. Also price is again attempting to get close to the potential resistance. We'll have to see if price continues up or fails here. NUGT is a monster mover no doubt. It can be used quite effectively by those who prefer the hourly bar interval. Other than that, gold has been overwhelmed by demand mostly and the moment of truth is at hand.

    [​IMG]

    NUGT or GDX are in a hinge. This could lead to higher prices but for now it's unclear what is in store. Today was a strong day no doubt and a win for the demand. Next week we'll have to see whether supply has any conviction or is done.

    GDX (NUGT is 3x GDX)
    [​IMG]

    Gringo
     
    #181     Feb 7, 2014
  2. Gold will drop as the 10 yr yield rises.
     
    #182     Feb 7, 2014
  3. Gringo

    Gringo

    When is that happening?

    Gringo
     
    #183     Feb 7, 2014
  4. I can't predict the future. It's bound to happen with rising equities. Gold and the 10 year note are very correlated.
     
    #184     Feb 7, 2014
  5. Gringo

    Gringo

    You sure are a bad news bearer! :)
     
    #185     Feb 7, 2014
  6. niko

    niko

    Why are you so mean? :)
     
    #186     Feb 9, 2014
  7. Gringo

    Gringo

    AMT. Max trades take place at the mean. That's why.
     
    #187     Feb 9, 2014
  8. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    He's not mean. Just average.
     
    #188     Feb 9, 2014
  9. niko

    niko

    Hehe,

    I was curious about something regarding fundamentals (so that one can have something to talk about at cocktail parties) and found a chart that wanted to share.

    [​IMG]

    Before money printing bubbles became an everyday practice, markets used to top around 20 times PE ratios. We are around that level, so unless thousands of tons of newly printed (I know they don't even bother to print them anymore) dollars keep the party going, I am not sure how much it can last. Although we can always reach the "new normal" :) .

    I am not even sure this discussion is relevant, but wanted to point that out.
     
    #189     Feb 9, 2014
  10. Well, Ken Fisher on his book "The Wall Street Waltz" pointed out a similar idea. He also referenced a PE ratio of 20. But in an updated 2007 edition, he stated that PE ratios were no longer an indicator of an impending decline. When you look at the late 80's, PE ratios began to shoot up much and nothing major happened. However, we'll just have to see....
     
    #190     Feb 9, 2014